NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	122		Excitement	5.4 [287]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +23.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	132		Comeback	1.5 [284]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -7.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.04	-0.04	17	71%	0.24	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	4	137%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.03	16	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Colby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.07	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	25	51%	0.02	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.01	11	84%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.25	0.03	0.05	16	80%	0.27	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.01	10	75%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	16	65%	0.21	5	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	8	84%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	30.5	14.8	29.2	2.5	31.2	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.9%

LAL +17.0%

SAC -8.9%

SAC -0.7%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.6	14.3	124.5	133.3	112.0
season	13.8	14.9		114.1	112.3
opponent	14.1	14.9		114.1	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	12.6	15.0	12.3	13.7
LAL	14.9	16.2	13.2	18.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Colby Jones	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-10	10	0.0	13.7	-13.66	13.0	15.6	-2.59
Keon Ellis	24	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-17	24	13.4	13.8	-0.38	16.6	15.2	1.46
Alex Len	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-2	-6	13.0	13.9	-0.81	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Kevin Huerter	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	13.2	14.1	-0.97	16.6	14.5	2.10
Trey Lyles	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	13.4	13.9	-0.48	16.0	15.1	0.91
Domantas Sabonis	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	13.9	13.4	0.55	15.6	15.6	0.00
Keegan Murray	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	5	-20	14.6	12.3	2.29	14.7	16.9	-2.16
De'Aaron Fox	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	13.2	16.1	-2.84	15.4	16.3	-0.88
DeMar DeRozan	87	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	13.3	16.5	-3.25	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Malik Monk	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	14.5	11.9	2.66	15.3	16.1	-0.78

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.04	21	-11	32	14.9	18.4	-3.47	14.0	12.2	1.83
Austin Reaves	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-5	20	15.1	19.1	-3.97	13.7	13.1	0.61
Dalton Knecht	69	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	1	8	15.6	15.4	0.24	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Rui Hachimura	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	11	-12	15.8	15.1	0.65	13.8	13.3	0.48
D'Angelo Russell	57	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	6	-2	16.6	14.1	2.47	13.8	13.5	0.38
Cam Reddish	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	15.0	15.9	-0.91	13.8	13.5	0.29
Gabe Vincent	15	15	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	1	8	14.1	15.8	-1.77	13.9	13.6	0.32
Max Christie	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	17	-24	16.0	14.7	1.35	13.5	14.0	-0.55
Christian Koloko	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	14	-18	18.4	15.2	3.15	12.0	13.8	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
PHX 92, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAC 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%