NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	136		Excitement	10.4 [19]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +75.2%
Washington Wizards	132		Comeback	22.4 [23]		LVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): -13.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.75	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.75	0.33	0.42	-0.00	31	70%	0.85	3	-0.09	17	94%	0.14
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	19	73%	0.33	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	14	70%	0.20	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	10	57%	0.14	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.26	0.22	0.02	15	103%	0.57	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	0.03	15	58%	0.18	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.07
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.16	-0.00	17	51%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	25.0	14.8	26.2	2.6	29.6	1.8	20.3	146.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.1%

NYK +34.6%

WAS -2.0%

WAS -0.7%

WAS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.6	14.3	120.4	117.9	112.0
season	15.2	13.8		119.3	105.0
opponent	13.9	14.2		117.0	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.2	13.0	16.7	15.3	12.2	14.7
WAS	13.6	14.2	12.1	16.0	10.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	92	90	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.54	8	-4	12	14.9	13.9	0.95	13.8	12.9	0.89
Josh Hart	81	80	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.55	6	-2	8	15.1	13.5	1.60	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Mikal Bridges	98	99	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	15.0	12.9	2.09	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Jalen Brunson	92	93	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	3	-2	15.1	12.9	2.24	13.6	13.6	-0.06
OG Anunoby	88	89	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	6	-8	15.0	13.5	1.49	13.4	14.3	-0.97
Landry Shamet	15	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	12.9	15.0	-2.09	14.9	13.4	1.52
Precious Achiuwa	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	-2	8	13.4	15.4	-2.00	13.7	13.5	0.11
Cameron Payne	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	13.5	14.8	-1.38	14.9	13.4	1.50
Miles McBride	43	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	13.5	15.4	-1.93	13.6	13.6	0.01

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	73	72	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	-1	-2	13.6	13.5	0.18	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Corey Kispert	52	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	13.2	13.9	-0.80	13.7	15.5	-1.83
Jonas Valanciunas	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	12.6	14.3	-1.67	13.5	15.6	-2.05
Carlton Carrington	90	91	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-7	10	13.5	14.0	-0.52	15.1	13.0	2.09
Alexandre Sarr	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.1	12.9	1.18	15.3	13.8	1.53
Bilal Coulibaly	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-4	4	13.6	13.5	0.18	15.4	13.1	2.34
Justin Champagnie	94	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	13.8	12.3	1.55	14.7	14.6	0.07
Malcolm Brogdon	63	65	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.70	-3	-1	-2	13.8	13.3	0.45	14.7	14.6	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.7,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.08,0	90.2%
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	89.6%
DAL 108, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,0	89.5%