NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	6.2 [235]		MVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): +73.0%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	150.5 [2]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -7.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0.73	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.73	0.06	0.67	-0.00	13	66%	0.78	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.07
Malik Beasley	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.31,0.31	0.14	0.20	0.03	16	65%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	117%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.07	0.06	-0.13	0.00	24	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.02	13	59%	0.16	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.07	-0.04	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.06	0.01	8	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Colby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	25	49%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	26.5	14.7	31.2	2.3	35.6	142.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.6%

DET +20.7%

DET +0.2%

DET +4.2%

DET +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	13.2	15.6	14.3	114.0	113.0	112.0
season	14.3	13.8		110.6	114.1
opponent	14.9	14.6		113.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	13.4	12.4	13.0	13.2
SAC	14.8	14.3	16.4	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	48	48	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-10	21	13.3	13.2	0.14	16.3	14.9	1.33
Cade Cunningham	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-7	15	13.0	14.0	-0.97	16.1	13.7	2.42
Jaden Ivey	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.65	-1	2	-3	13.4	12.7	0.69	15.2	16.4	-1.12
Tobias Harris	55	53	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	13.5	12.9	0.56	16.4	14.7	1.70
Malik Beasley	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.64	-3	4	-7	12.8	13.8	-0.98	14.7	16.8	-2.16
Paul Reed	25	27	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.24	12	-11	23	12.1	13.6	-1.52	17.5	14.9	2.66
Marcus Sasser	17	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	-4	9	12.4	13.4	-1.04	15.9	15.5	0.36
Ausar Thompson	39	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	2	-3	12.2	13.9	-1.75	15.7	15.5	0.23
Jalen Duren	66	65	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	12	-23	13.7	12.2	1.54	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Simone Fontecchio	30	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	4	-7	13.9	12.9	0.97	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Ronald Holland II	14	15	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.11	-15	16	-31	15.9	12.8	3.07	12.3	16.2	-3.90

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	63	61	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.23	3	-4	7	15.6	15.5	0.11	13.1	13.4	-0.31
Colby Jones	23	23	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.03	12	-13	25	14.5	15.9	-1.43	14.7	12.8	1.97
Alex Len	46	45	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.11	-1	0	-1	16.2	15.1	1.10	13.7	12.8	0.93
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	0	-1	16.4	13.4	2.93	13.3	13.0	0.25
Isaac Jones	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	2	-5	14.4	15.7	-1.24	12.0	13.3	-1.33
Trey Lyles	54	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.58	0	-1	1	15.1	16.2	-1.10	12.8	13.7	-0.93
Keon Ellis	28	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	1	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.05	13.0	13.3	-0.31
Kevin Huerter	48	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.74	4	-5	9	15.1	16.1	-1.00	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Keegan Murray	77	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.54	-4	3	-7	15.9	14.4	1.49	13.0	13.9	-0.90
De'Aaron Fox	81	81	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	12	-25	15.5	15.9	-0.45	13.2	13.1	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.84,0	93.5%
OKC 114, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	93.1%
MEM 91, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0	91.5%