NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	9.3 [60]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +53.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	8.2 [107]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -25.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.53	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.53	0.17	0.38	0.02	14	74%	0.56	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.22,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.19	0.00	7	78%	0.30	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Drew Eubanks	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	6	107%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	13	69%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Cody Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	19	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	5	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Isaiah Collier	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25	-0.15	-0.11	-0.00	10	33%	0.00	6	-0.26	1	0%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.2,0.28,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.18	0.31	-0.00	13	75%	0.59	2	-0.10	10	70%	0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.17	0.03	18	75%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.27	0.01	12	64%	0.37	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	5	82%	0.20	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	16	55%	0.05	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	12	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	24.2	14.3	28.5	2.3	31.6	126.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.1%

POR +14.4%

POR +8.9%

POR +6.3%

UTA -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	13.6	14.3	118.8	122.0	112.0
season	14.9	14.3		109.6	107.9
opponent	14.4	13.7		116.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	16.1	14.5	15.6	15.0
POR	15.5	12.1	16.2	11.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	52	50	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.06	15	-17	32	15.3	14.8	0.53	14.8	12.4	2.44
Johnny Juzang	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.0	0.15	12.3	14.2	-1.89
Kyle Filipowski	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.6	15.3	-0.75	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Drew Eubanks	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.6	15.3	-0.75	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Brice Sensabaugh	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	10	-22	15.1	15.0	0.10	13.7	13.5	0.18
Isaiah Collier	75	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.57	9	-11	20	14.0	18.1	-4.08	14.0	12.6	1.38
Collin Sexton	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	15.7	14.2	1.45	13.9	13.2	0.77
Walker Kessler	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	15.3	14.6	0.75	13.8	13.2	0.63
Lauri Markkanen	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	15.3	14.6	0.75	13.8	13.2	0.63
Cody Williams	53	53	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.38	-17	15	-32	15.5	14.6	0.93	12.3	15.1	-2.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scoot Henderson	62	63	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.26	22	-20	42	12.5	15.4	-2.94	15.6	14.2	1.39
Deni Avdija	65	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-9	20	12.8	15.2	-2.42	15.1	15.0	0.12
Shaedon Sharpe	63	63	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-5	12	13.6	13.7	-0.12	16.2	13.1	3.12
Deandre Ayton	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	13.5	13.9	-0.42	15.3	14.5	0.73
Toumani Camara	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.49	-5	7	-12	14.0	12.9	1.11	15.1	15.0	0.04
Donovan Clingan	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	-1	4	13.4	13.7	-0.24	14.5	15.3	-0.73
Kris Murray	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.6	13.6	0.06	12.1	15.7	-3.60
Jerami Grant	65	65	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	11	-20	14.3	12.3	1.98	15.0	15.1	-0.01
Anfernee Simons	63	64	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.12	-15	17	-32	14.7	11.7	2.97	14.1	16.6	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.37,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.42,0.53,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.54,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 112, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.91,1	92.2%
PHI 98, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.55,0.77,0.85,1	91.4%
NOP 123, HOU 130	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.9,0.91,1	90.8%