inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement8.7 [82] MVPTyler Herro (MIA): +56.3%
Orlando Magic 88 Comeback7.8 [70] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -21.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.560,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.56-0.040.630.021757%0.756-0.191100%0.01
Alec Burks0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.170.160.010.005100%0.351-0.18786%0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.01-0.03968%0.103-0.054100%0.03
Haywood Highsmith0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.00675%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Kel'el Ware-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.021447%0.072-0.11250%0.00
Nikola Jovic-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.050.01850%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.17-0.10-0.061020%-0.114-0.1000%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.380.380.010.36-0.00759%0.442-0.06367%-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.10.100.050.060.01869%0.151-0.0500%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00462%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.03-0.001267%0.094-0.093100%0.02
Jett Howard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevelin Queen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.060.00850%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00631%-0.051-0.03475%-0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.02617%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.02-0.0340%-0.074-0.0700%0.00
Jalen Suggs0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.02,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.02-0.20-0.052158%0.127-0.28887%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.71.825.515.327.52.431.9130.2
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.7%
ORL -5.1%
MIA +4.0%
ORL -10.3%
MIA +7.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game15.214.614.392.790.7112.0
season14.815.1112.5108.5
opponent14.514.6106.3110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.014.615.716.815.2
ORL13.716.713.814.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks63640.81-0.311.120.3117-163315.315.10.2314.514.7-0.18
Terry Rozier59590.71-0.210.910.3512-112315.614.70.8713.716.1-2.42
Bam Adebayo68700.59-0.090.690.68-34-715.414.90.5415.113.41.72
Duncan Robinson35370.420.080.340.77-1213-2515.215.3-0.0614.814.50.28
Jaime Jaquez Jr.58600.210.29-0.090.152-1315.614.70.9615.513.22.29
Tyler Herro66650.090.41-0.320.38-1011-2114.816.1-1.3014.514.7-0.21
Kel'el Ware2928-0.040.54-0.58-0.164-3714.415.6-1.2313.615.0-1.46
Nikola Jovic4949-0.070.57-0.65-0.225-4914.915.6-0.7414.315.0-0.69
Haywood Highsmith5353-0.220.72-0.930.08-1011-2115.514.90.5614.914.20.74

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tristan da Silva77770.63-1.131.750.2712-132514.714.10.6415.215.20.04
Cole Anthony25240.04-0.540.580.13-32-512.615.3-2.6515.215.3-0.10
Wendell Carter Jr.3131-0.16-0.340.180.05-76-1313.215.3-2.0315.815.00.79
Trevelin Queen7474-0.22-0.280.06-0.489-101915.113.11.9915.016.0-0.99
Anthony Black2928-0.22-0.280.050.04-98-1713.315.2-1.9015.715.00.67
Jett Howard1211-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-87-1512.214.9-2.6916.015.10.86
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6564-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.5810-112115.313.22.1215.015.7-0.77
Jalen Suggs6465-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.558-91715.113.71.4315.015.7-0.65
Goga Bitadze6665-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.526-71315.313.22.0315.015.8-0.79
Cory Joseph1616-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-1110-2114.414.7-0.2815.915.10.76
Jonathan Isaac2625-0.970.47-1.43-0.61-1211-2314.514.6-0.1015.915.00.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.31,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.1,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 113, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.06,0,091.9%
CHI 125, ATL 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.27,0.47,0.21,0.01,0,091.6%
DAL 127, GSW 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,090.6%