inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Excitement8.1 [118] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +59.9%
Indiana Pacers 114 Comeback3.8 [188] LVPMyles Turner (IND): -5.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.600,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.60.370.270.042282%0.631-0.0311100%0.04
Ajay Mitchell0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.060.00582%0.1400.0010%-0.03
Kenrich Williams0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.01675%0.1200.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0.100,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.040.13-0.012243%0.132-0.032100%0.06
Luguentz Dort0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.05-0.011350%0.0900.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.050.030.020.00655%0.0500.00862%-0.02
Jaylin Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01831%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Aaron Wiggins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.040.021469%0.161-0.00475%0.02
Jarace Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.10-0.011060%0.201-0.0500%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.01972%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.001353%0.091-0.03875%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.022125%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01-0.00383%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.09,0.01,-0.02-0.020.07-0.080.011761%0.142-0.164100%0.03
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01633%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.031337%0.012-0.06650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.426.315.325.42.033.3131.3
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +14.9%
OKC +8.1%
IND -7.3%
OKC +35.8%
IND -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCINDNBAOKCINDNBA
this game14.314.514.3120.0114.0111.9
season13.913.8113.5112.2
opponent14.614.7114.9102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.812.815.013.814.3
IND14.215.313.814.414.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander78790.62-0.120.750.3310-41414.115.4-1.3114.613.80.88
Luguentz Dort73730.60-0.100.690.2711-51614.115.0-0.8514.215.1-0.84
Isaiah Hartenstein77750.380.120.270.50-410-1413.915.7-1.7013.916.2-2.32
Cason Wallace64640.360.140.220.42-28-1013.915.2-1.3414.214.8-0.58
Kenrich Williams32320.290.210.07-0.1013-72015.014.01.0215.214.11.07
Jaylin Williams17170.180.32-0.14-0.037-1816.513.92.5715.914.21.71
Jalen Williams78770.170.33-0.150.41-814-2214.115.1-1.0213.916.5-2.62
Dillon Jones560.150.35-0.21-0.067-1810.614.5-3.9418.214.23.94
Isaiah Joe33320.010.49-0.490.0106-615.413.81.5315.314.01.30
Aaron Wiggins1212-0.080.58-0.660.01-39-1215.814.11.7015.214.40.80
Ajay Mitchell3133-0.170.67-0.85-0.14-17-815.214.01.2414.414.5-0.05

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Bryant18200.17-0.670.830.054-101414.314.5-0.1515.714.01.70
Obi Toppin14130.06-0.560.630.012-81014.714.40.3015.114.20.85
Ben Sheppard4545-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-5414.114.8-0.7214.913.91.00
T.J. McConnell3837-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-1-414.714.30.4015.813.52.29
Bennedict Mathurin8182-0.19-0.310.12-0.314-101414.414.7-0.3414.513.70.75
Jarace Walker3131-0.32-0.18-0.130.15-1610-2614.714.30.4114.514.20.30
Pascal Siakam6766-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-91214.414.6-0.2214.214.7-0.55
Andrew Nembhard6262-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.36-3-3014.314.7-0.4013.415.8-2.42
Myles Turner7070-0.580.08-0.65-0.43-5-1-414.414.6-0.2513.915.4-1.47
Tyrese Haliburton7474-0.780.28-1.05-0.40-137-2014.813.61.1913.915.6-1.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.59,0.6,0.36,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.33,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 95, TOR 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,090.1%
BOS 94, MIA 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.33,0.27,089.9%
DEN 105, HOU 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.34,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.26,089.6%