NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	114		Excitement	10.9 [12]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +30.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	3.8 [75]		LVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -21.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.31	0.08	0.23	-0.00	20	62%	0.43	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	18	54%	0.27	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	52%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	2	150%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	16	50%	0.23	4	-0.16	10	80%	0.01
Amir Coffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	38%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	14	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	9	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.02	-0.03	10	62%	0.17	1	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	60%	0.14	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.01	20	48%	0.17	7	-0.26	8	87%	0.08
Zach Edey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	26	39%	-0.18	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	27.2	14.5	37.5	2.5	38.2	146.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.5%

MEM -1.1%

MEM -25.3%

LAC +15.7%

MEM -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.2	13.3	14.3	106.5	100.0	112.0
season	15.0	13.1		108.8	116.2
opponent	14.0	14.0		108.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	12.7	10.9	14.2	13.2
MEM	12.7	14.5	12.7	13.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	83	85	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-9	22	12.9	14.2	-1.28	13.5	12.7	0.79
Ivica Zubac	89	89	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-13	30	13.1	13.9	-0.81	13.9	10.9	2.99
Kris Dunn	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	13.7	12.6	1.07	13.2	13.5	-0.28
Nicolas Batum	61	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	6	-8	13.0	13.6	-0.61	13.3	13.3	0.05
James Harden	80	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	6	-8	13.5	12.3	1.28	12.9	14.4	-1.52
Derrick Jones Jr.	48	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	0	4	13.3	13.1	0.18	13.8	12.9	0.88
Kevin Porter Jr.	47	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	3	-2	12.7	13.6	-0.95	13.2	13.5	-0.31
Amir Coffey	53	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	13.2	13.2	0.06	13.4	13.3	0.05
Mo Bamba	14	16	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.06	-14	18	-32	14.4	13.0	1.40	10.6	13.8	-3.24

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scotty Pippen Jr.	39	39	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-12	20	13.7	13.1	0.61	14.5	12.5	1.96
Zach Edey	59	59	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-7	10	14.4	12.1	2.29	13.7	12.6	1.18
Brandon Clarke	17	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	12.6	13.5	-0.87	10.2	13.7	-3.49
Luke Kennard	40	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	12.9	13.5	-0.59	12.7	13.5	-0.74
Jaylen Wells	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-6	8	13.5	13.1	0.48	13.5	12.8	0.76
Desmond Bane	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-4	4	13.5	12.9	0.59	13.5	12.7	0.74
Jake LaRavia	52	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	3	-10	13.3	13.3	-0.00	12.8	13.6	-0.77
Jaren Jackson Jr.	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-6	8	12.7	14.2	-1.48	14.4	11.4	3.00
Santi Aldama	76	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	6	-16	13.0	14.0	-1.02	12.4	14.8	-2.44
Ja Morant	71	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	8	-20	13.1	13.7	-0.61	12.5	14.5	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.3,0.46,0.37,0.27,0.14,0.24,0.53,0.62,0.29,0.09,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.17,0.3,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	91.0%
NYK 107, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0	90.8%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	90.6%