NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	7.9 [231]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +25.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	3.9 [303]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -36.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.07,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	21	60%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.01	16	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Mullin	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	11	23%	-0.19	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	13	86%	0.39	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.05
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.10	0.01	13	63%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17	-0.17	0.01	-0.17	0.01	7	59%	0.02	1	-0.19	3	67%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	13	29%	-0.16	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	0.00	13	37%	-0.18	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	26.2	16.4	22.9	2.5	38.5	132.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.7%

MIN -23.5%

MIN -10.5%

IND +43.2%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.6	104.4	100.0	102.5
season	16.0	14.8		105.3	105.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		104.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	14.9	14.7	18.5	16.3
MIN	14.2	15.1	17.2	16.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	44	45	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-8	20	15.4	17.1	-1.77	15.0	16.5	-1.56
Mark Jackson	63	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-2	8	15.8	17.3	-1.47	16.1	15.0	1.08
Chris Mullin	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-2	8	15.4	17.3	-1.97	15.9	15.5	0.45
Rik Smits	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-2	8	16.9	15.3	1.56	16.3	14.7	1.64
Reggie Miller	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	2	0	16.6	15.5	1.13	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Fred Hoiberg	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	2	0	15.5	16.6	-1.13	16.1	15.6	0.48
Jalen Rose	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	6	-8	17.3	15.4	1.97	15.5	15.9	-0.45
Antonio Davis	48	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	11	-18	16.5	16.0	0.46	16.3	15.2	1.08
Mark Pope	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	7	-10	16.2	16.3	-0.17	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Travis Best	27	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	6	-8	17.3	15.8	1.47	15.0	16.1	-1.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	46	45	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.16	13	-17	30	15.2	16.3	-1.10	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Terry Porter	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	17.7	15.4	2.33	14.3	16.6	-2.23
DeJuan Wheat	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	15.4	15.8	-0.32	18.0	16.1	1.90
Cherokee Parks	28	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-7	10	17.7	14.9	2.82	17.3	15.8	1.46
Tom Hammonds	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	13.4	16.0	-2.54	14.2	16.5	-2.27
Doug West	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	3	-10	16.5	15.4	1.11	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Chris Carr	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	15.6	16.1	-0.55	17.0	14.7	2.25
Stanley Roberts	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	3	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.6	15.9	0.70
Tom Gugliotta	73	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	3	-10	15.5	16.9	-1.49	15.9	17.8	-1.88
Stephon Marbury	70	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	15.3	17.3	-2.08	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Kevin Garnett	69	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	7	-18	15.9	15.1	0.83	16.6	15.0	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.17,0.3,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.08,0	91.4%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	91.2%
PHX 88, LAL 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,0	90.6%