NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	9.4 [50]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +43.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	2.8 [216]		LVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): -12.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.02	19	65%	0.28	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Castle	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.01	9	85%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.08	-0.06	0.14	-0.00	9	55%	0.21	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.08
Jeremy Sochan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.10	0.02	9	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tre Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.03	11	52%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.04,-0.12	0.06	-0.16	0.02	10	75%	0.27	3	-0.39	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.43	0.43	0.14	0.28	-0.02	25	58%	0.45	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.09
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	0.00	8	94%	0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.05	16	49%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	12	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	32.6	15.3	28.4	2.4	32.5	139.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.0%

SAS -10.9%

PHI +0.5%

PHI +49.0%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	14.3	105.0	109.9	112.0
season	14.4	15.2		111.4	107.7
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.7	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.5	13.8	14.5	13.1	13.7
PHI	16.5	15.0	12.7	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	46	47	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-15	25	13.5	13.9	-0.39	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Tre Jones	30	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-15	25	12.5	14.2	-1.68	15.2	14.6	0.52
Charles Bassey	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	14.5	13.6	0.95	15.3	14.7	0.56
Stephon Castle	28	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	13.2	13.9	-0.64	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Julian Champagnie	60	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-13	21	13.1	14.6	-1.47	15.0	14.5	0.47
Harrison Barnes	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	5	-15	14.4	13.2	1.18	15.1	14.6	0.58
Chris Paul	73	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	13.9	13.2	0.64	15.5	13.1	2.41
Jeremy Sochan	67	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	6	-17	14.2	12.7	1.47	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Victor Wembanyama	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	0	-5	13.4	14.7	-1.22	14.8	14.7	0.12
Devin Vassell	68	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	12	-29	14.1	12.8	1.33	14.3	15.8	-1.57

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	78	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-10	25	14.1	17.3	-3.18	13.9	13.1	0.72
Guerschon Yabusele	68	66	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	0	5	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.5	14.1	-0.53
Tyrese Maxey	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	15.3	12.4	2.94	14.0	12.4	1.61
Kelly Oubre Jr.	72	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	15.4	13.3	2.14	13.8	13.4	0.44
Caleb Martin	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	14.9	14.7	0.16	14.3	13.1	1.19
Reggie Jackson	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	12.1	15.3	-3.13	13.1	13.8	-0.74
Joel Embiid	29	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	2	1	15.8	14.4	1.44	13.7	13.7	0.04
KJ Martin	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	13.7	15.6	-1.84	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Andre Drummond	14	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	16.5	14.5	1.97	13.0	13.8	-0.81
Kyle Lowry	47	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	8	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.27	13.1	14.2	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.46,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.58,1	91.3%
BOS 101, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.26,1	91.1%
DET 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.72,1	90.8%