NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	8.0 [124]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +26.0%
Washington Wizards	123		Comeback	2.9 [129]		LVP	Carlton Carrington (WAS): -11.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	12	59%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Moussa Diabate	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.05	32	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.06
Vasilije Micic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	16	46%	-0.01	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Isaiah Wong	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.14	0.04	15	67%	0.32	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	8	81%	0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	-0.03	-0.00	13	78%	0.20	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	82%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	13	50%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.02
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlton Carrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.3	29.8	14.7	28.5	2.3	42.7	143.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +91.0%

WAS +1.2%

CHA -9.1%

CHA -31.9%

CHA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.3	111.8	121.8	112.0
season	15.0	13.8		107.0	105.0
opponent	13.9	14.2		117.0	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	17.3	12.8	13.3	14.6
WAS	12.0	15.5	14.9	12.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	13.8	14.9	-1.03	14.5	13.5	0.93
Mark Williams	44	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-12	15	13.5	15.4	-1.89	13.2	14.2	-1.08
Seth Curry	69	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-13	17	14.1	15.6	-1.51	13.9	13.4	0.51
Josh Green	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	14.7	14.5	0.25	13.1	14.4	-1.27
Tidjane Salaun	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-7	5	16.4	13.8	2.54	15.0	13.2	1.75
LaMelo Ball	75	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	14.0	16.3	-2.28	13.4	14.6	-1.13
Isaiah Wong	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	14.4	14.7	-0.24	14.8	13.4	1.43
Miles Bridges	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	13.8	16.4	-2.54	13.2	15.0	-1.75
Cody Martin	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	3	-15	14.4	14.8	-0.37	13.9	13.6	0.37
Vasilije Micic	29	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	8	-25	17.4	13.5	3.86	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Nick Richards	32	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	4	-17	16.9	13.6	3.33	14.4	13.5	0.92

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	56	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-5	19	13.7	13.8	-0.01	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Carlton Carrington	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	6	-3	13.5	14.3	-0.78	15.0	13.7	1.34
Kyshawn George	33	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	0	9	13.2	14.0	-0.89	16.2	13.8	2.37
Justin Champagnie	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	13.7	13.8	-0.03	13.6	16.0	-2.35
Alexandre Sarr	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	14.0	13.2	0.79	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Jonas Valanciunas	30	32	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	4	1	13.2	14.0	-0.79	15.5	14.2	1.33
Jordan Poole	72	71	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	14.0	13.0	1.01	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Corey Kispert	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	4	1	13.7	13.8	-0.01	15.5	14.0	1.49
Bilal Coulibaly	75	74	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	10	-11	14.0	13.1	0.86	14.2	15.6	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.54,0.54,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.4%
GSW 89, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.2%