NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	9.4 [47]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): +48.3%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	2.4 [226]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (TOR): -10.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.48	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.48,0.48	0.18	0.31	0.01	14	82%	0.52	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.36	0.08	0.27	-0.01	13	67%	0.45	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	13	65%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Miles McBride	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	48%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	4	100%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	12	66%	0.21	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	11	62%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.02	24	60%	0.17	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	40.2	7.0	29.0	1.7	31.3	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.4%

NYK +4.2%

TOR -31.0%

NYK +22.1%

NYK +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.3	118.9	111.3	111.8
season	15.2	13.8		119.9	109.9
opponent	14.6	14.2		115.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	15.8	15.2	15.4	15.7
TOR	14.3	14.2	13.1	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	15.5	16.3	-0.82	14.8	13.0	1.78
Mikal Bridges	82	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	15.6	16.2	-0.65	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Josh Hart	62	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	7	-9	15.8	15.5	0.24	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Miles McBride	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-3	11	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.0	13.7	1.31
OG Anunoby	84	83	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	12	-19	15.6	16.0	-0.37	13.5	19.5	-6.03
Jalen Brunson	69	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.22	-2	7	-9	16.1	14.5	1.67	13.6	16.3	-2.76
Precious Achiuwa	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	0	5	16.0	15.5	0.54	15.0	14.0	1.00
Cameron Payne	24	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	14.7	16.0	-1.29	16.9	13.4	3.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	49	46	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-10	15	13.4	15.3	-1.97	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Jakob Poeltl	68	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-15	25	14.1	14.9	-0.79	16.0	14.8	1.22
Ja'Kobe Walter	43	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	5	-15	15.5	13.4	2.02	14.5	16.7	-2.14
Ochai Agbaji	65	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-12	19	13.5	16.1	-2.57	16.4	14.2	2.24
Gradey Dick	62	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-11	17	14.5	14.1	0.31	16.1	14.9	1.25
RJ Barrett	75	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-9	13	13.3	17.9	-4.56	16.2	13.4	2.82
Kelly Olynyk	29	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	10	-25	14.9	14.1	0.79	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Jonathan Mogbo	47	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	12	-29	16.4	12.4	3.96	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Davion Mitchell	47	46	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	10	-25	15.0	13.8	1.20	15.6	15.8	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	91.2%
MIN 110, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0	91.2%
WAS 99, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.22,0.28,0	91.0%