NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	5.2 [314]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +14.3%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	1.4 [305]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -4.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	20	65%	0.21	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Dillon Brooks	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	15	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	14	71%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	13	76%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	15	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	18	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	18	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	33.1	0.2	30.0	1.8	29.5	118.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.9%

HOU +14.5%

HOU +21.0%

LAC -14.4%

LAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.3	120.6	111.6	112.0
season	14.7	15.0		111.3	108.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		108.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	13.7	13.7	18.0	15.1
LAC	13.4	17.8	14.0	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-3	17	15.4	14.3	1.06	15.5	13.1	2.37
Amen Thompson	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.15	10	1	9	14.8	16.6	-1.80	14.3	17.8	-3.57
Jalen Green	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	3	5	14.9	15.7	-0.72	14.0	17.6	-3.52
Jae'Sean Tate	37	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-1	13	13.8	15.9	-2.09	15.9	14.3	1.69
Dillon Brooks	78	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	5	1	15.0	15.6	-0.59	14.4	16.7	-2.35
Jabari Smith Jr.	68	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	15.9	13.3	2.56	15.0	14.7	0.21
Aaron Holiday	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	10	-9	15.1	15.1	0.06	16.1	14.1	2.00
Reed Sheppard	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	16.8	14.7	2.14	17.1	14.3	2.86
Steven Adams	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	11	-11	14.5	15.3	-0.76	13.6	15.2	-1.64

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	13.4	15.4	-2.03	15.4	15.0	0.40
Kai Jones	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-9	7	15.8	14.6	1.23	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Nicolas Batum	51	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	15.5	14.2	1.24	13.8	16.6	-2.76
Kris Dunn	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	15.3	14.5	0.84	14.4	15.8	-1.44
Jordan Miller	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-9	7	15.1	14.5	0.61	16.1	13.3	2.75
Norman Powell	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-6	1	13.9	17.6	-3.73	15.3	14.5	0.79
Bones Hyland	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	16.0	13.6	2.36	15.7	14.4	1.27
Ivica Zubac	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	14.6	15.8	-1.23	15.2	14.9	0.31
Kevin Porter Jr.	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	7	-25	14.7	15.5	-0.77	14.9	15.7	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 94, LAL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
NJN 105, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%