NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	8.7 [73]		MVP	Buddy Hield (GSW): +25.5%
Golden State Warriors	114		Comeback	4.2 [128]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -17.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.00	9	95%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Josh Minott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Julius Randle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	14	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	3	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.10
Anthony Edwards	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.09,-0.06,-0.17,-0.18	0.05	-0.22	0.01	19	67%	0.09	6	-0.26	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.06	-0.00	18	75%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	18	64%	0.28	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.05
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.11	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.04
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.01	8	47%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	28.7	15.5	33.4	2.4	29.7	137.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -1.2%

GSW +9.4%

GSW +15.7%

GSW +25.1%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	14.3	111.6	118.8	111.8
season	14.8	13.9		110.0	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	15.8	16.9	18.5	16.4
GSW	14.6	14.2	11.2	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Minott	8	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-11	14	11.9	16.8	-4.95	16.3	13.5	2.83
Naz Reid	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-6	4	14.4	18.1	-3.73	14.3	13.3	0.94
Jaden McDaniels	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-8	8	17.3	13.7	3.56	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	14.6	18.3	-3.76	15.2	12.3	2.98
Julius Randle	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	16.6	15.8	0.83	13.8	13.5	0.31
Anthony Edwards	71	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	16.6	15.8	0.77	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Donte DiVincenzo	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	3	-14	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.2	13.5	0.74
Mike Conley	50	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	1	-10	17.8	14.9	2.93	12.0	15.8	-3.84
Rudy Gobert	73	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	4	-16	17.4	13.0	4.38	13.4	15.1	-1.76

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	70	69	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-9	26	13.5	14.5	-1.07	16.6	15.8	0.83
Stephen Curry	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-6	20	12.9	16.2	-3.28	16.8	15.4	1.39
Jonathan Kuminga	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	13.4	15.1	-1.73	16.3	16.7	-0.35
Gary Payton II	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	7	-6	12.8	15.0	-2.20	17.6	14.8	2.87
Kevon Looney	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	14.9	12.9	2.04	15.7	16.9	-1.23
Kyle Anderson	16	15	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	6	-4	15.3	13.4	1.86	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Draymond Green	62	62	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	10	-12	12.9	15.4	-2.56	17.0	15.2	1.84
Brandin Podziemski	42	39	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	10	-12	14.7	13.0	1.65	14.3	17.9	-3.52
Lindy Waters III	42	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	7	-6	15.6	12.3	3.35	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Moses Moody	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	17.0	13.4	3.57	15.6	16.5	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.67,0.67,0.38,0.46,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.53,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	91.6%
MIA 89, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.77,0.96,1	90.5%
TOR 119, WAS 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.65,0.33,0.2,0.48,0.78,0.92,1	90.1%