NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	9.2 [157]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +41.9%
San Antonio Spurs	121		Comeback	5.2 [365]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -25.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	16	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Brandon Boston Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Yves Missi	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	55%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Jamal Cain	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Dejounte Murray	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.11,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	-0.00	20	40%	-0.20	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.31	-0.00	16	69%	0.50	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	6	89%	0.24	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	63%	0.16	4	-0.19	5	80%	-0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	12	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	13	46%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	7	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	28.5	15.4	28.3	2.0	36.2	140.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.2%

SAS +16.7%

SAS +19.2%

NOP -21.4%

NOP -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.4	114.9	116.3	113.1
season	14.4	14.2		109.3	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		115.6	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.3	15.1	14.9	13.5	14.2
SAS	12.9	12.6	16.4	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Reeves	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-7	9	11.2	14.6	-3.31	10.4	14.4	-3.97
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-6	7	12.5	15.4	-2.84	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Trey Jemison III	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	15.6	14.1	1.51	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Brandon Boston Jr.	59	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-10	15	13.4	15.3	-1.95	14.8	12.7	2.15
Jamal Cain	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	0	-5	13.8	14.3	-0.45	15.1	13.6	1.53
Dejounte Murray	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	14.8	12.7	2.08	14.3	13.2	1.12
Yves Missi	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-3	1	14.9	13.0	1.83	14.3	13.3	0.96
Herbert Jones	78	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.4	13.2	1.23	14.0	13.6	0.44
Trey Murphy III	78	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	4	-13	14.7	12.5	2.13	14.1	13.3	0.81
CJ McCollum	74	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	11	-27	14.2	14.1	0.13	12.9	16.9	-3.99

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	67	66	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.55	20	-15	35	14.5	13.0	1.49	14.8	12.9	1.92
Jeremy Sochan	54	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-9	23	12.7	15.3	-2.63	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Victor Wembanyama	57	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	0	5	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.7	13.6	1.11
Chris Paul	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	1	3	14.3	13.3	1.03	14.9	12.9	1.97
Charles Bassey	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	0	5	13.2	14.3	-1.10	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Julian Champagnie	72	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	11	-17	15.0	11.6	3.33	14.4	13.7	0.70
Devin Vassell	62	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	6	-7	13.4	14.8	-1.43	14.1	14.3	-0.27
Zach Collins	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	18.2	13.7	4.48	15.7	14.1	1.59
Keldon Johnson	26	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	12.9	14.3	-1.40	12.1	14.8	-2.72
Stephon Castle	75	73	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.14	-8	13	-21	13.9	14.0	-0.14	13.9	15.0	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.76,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.43,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.42,1	89.7%
IND 101, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	89.5%
MEM 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.58,1	88.7%