inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 141 Excitement2.7 [380] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +15.5%
Atlanta Hawks 111 Comeback1.0 [220] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -8.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.150,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.250.010.112968%0.183-0.031385%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.120,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.010.071774%0.1210.001100%0.00
Christian Braun0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.071171%0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Julian Strawther0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.066108%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Hunter Tyson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.042125%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.012100%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00240%0.0000.0010%-0.00
PJ Hall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01240%0.0000.0010%0.00
Trey Alexander0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022125%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.00669%0.044-0.0610%-0.01
Aaron Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04635%0.003-0.04580%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.021058%0.061-0.004100%0.01
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.022047%0.0300.003100%0.01
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01756%0.0200.00250%-0.00
David Roddy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.100.000.101167%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.10-0.00-0.07621%-0.0320.00250%-0.01
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.041553%0.013-0.05450%-0.01
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01420%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.011136%-0.051-0.00667%-0.01
Trae Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.040.000.051354%-0.054-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.428.614.731.01.825.2133.0
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +49.5%
DEN +2.3%
DEN +3.8%
ATL -7.5%
DEN +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game14.212.614.3133.0101.8111.9
season13.613.2115.4110.2
opponent14.314.5113.1113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.813.815.015.514.2
ATL13.413.411.412.212.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun71740.470.030.44-0.5334-43813.615.5-1.9413.111.41.76
Nikola Jokic79820.460.040.42-0.272552013.516.4-2.9512.612.6-0.03
Michael Porter Jr.79790.330.170.16-0.111515014.713.01.6712.911.61.29
Aaron Gordon54560.320.180.14-0.181713412.815.7-2.8812.412.8-0.40
Russell Westbrook71710.260.240.02-0.091218-613.914.9-1.0012.213.3-1.11
Jalen Pickett35380.240.26-0.02-0.291812614.913.91.0013.312.21.11
Peyton Watson38390.160.34-0.18-0.10921-1215.213.71.4212.512.6-0.09
Julian Strawther47470.160.34-0.180.22-232-3415.513.32.2412.512.6-0.06
Hunter Tyson17180.060.44-0.38-0.15723-1614.114.3-0.1511.212.8-1.68
DeAndre Jordan21200.040.46-0.420.04030-3017.113.53.6113.312.40.96
PJ Hall670.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.014.3-0.2610.412.7-2.29
Zeke Nnaji670.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.014.3-0.2610.412.7-2.29
Trey Alexander670.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.014.3-0.2610.412.7-2.29

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Roddy990.00-0.500.500.26-9-211212.012.6-0.6214.214.2-0.03
Kobe Bufkin990.00-0.500.500.26-9-211212.012.6-0.6214.214.2-0.03
Zaccharie Risacher6565-0.19-0.310.110.19-13-17412.912.10.7615.112.92.23
Onyeka Okongwu5553-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-201012.712.50.1715.213.31.96
Vit Krejci4141-0.23-0.270.040.18-14-16213.412.11.3615.313.61.75
Trae Young8480-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-252011.815.2-3.3614.014.8-0.80
Dyson Daniels8079-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-241811.515.6-4.0614.014.9-0.81
Garrison Mathews4442-0.29-0.21-0.070.51-27-3-2413.511.91.6014.813.90.86
Clint Capela4544-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-19812.612.60.0213.115.1-2.01
De'Andre Hunter5554-0.35-0.15-0.190.24-20-10-1013.012.10.9113.614.9-1.33
Larry Nance Jr.5854-0.44-0.06-0.380.32-26-4-2213.211.91.2913.215.3-2.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 113, GSW 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.1%
WAS 101, MIL 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
LAL 103, WAS 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%