NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	7.9 [125]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): +36.3%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	1.1 [89]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -14.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	18	63%	0.29	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Isaiah Wong	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	6	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Green	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	67%	0.15	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Cody Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	15	60%	0.11	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.22	0.12	-0.02	19	75%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	107%	0.25	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.12	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	47%	-0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	10	41%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	29.5	14.5	26.4	2.4	41.6	142.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +20.0%

CHA +4.0%

CHA +37.6%

IND -11.7%

CHA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	12.8	14.3	110.8	106.9	112.0
season	15.0	13.8		107.0	112.8
opponent	14.6	14.2		115.0	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	14.2	15.3	16.0	15.4
IND	13.8	13.0	13.5	11.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vasilije Micic	71	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	15.7	14.8	0.96	13.5	11.1	2.35
Cody Martin	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	15.2	15.9	-0.66	12.8	12.9	-0.09
Isaiah Wong	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	15.6	15.4	0.22	11.3	13.8	-2.46
Brandon Miller	88	86	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	2	0	15.0	18.0	-2.97	12.9	12.3	0.57
Josh Green	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-2	8	14.7	16.7	-2.03	12.9	12.6	0.37
DaQuan Jeffries	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	6	-8	15.4	15.4	-0.02	12.5	13.0	-0.56
Nick Richards	52	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	-1	6	15.3	15.6	-0.35	14.2	11.4	2.88
Seth Curry	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	3	-2	17.2	14.9	2.28	12.7	12.8	-0.14
KJ Simpson	27	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	15.7	15.4	0.31	12.1	13.0	-0.95
Taj Gibson	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	16.7	15.2	1.48	11.2	13.1	-1.83
Nick Smith Jr.	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.5	15.2	1.26	11.5	13.0	-1.48

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Furphy	23	22	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	11.7	13.1	-1.47	14.6	15.7	-1.03
Enrique Freeman	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-3	2	15.8	12.5	3.33	14.6	15.5	-0.97
Obi Toppin	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-8	12	12.4	13.1	-0.75	15.9	15.0	0.94
Jarace Walker	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-6	8	13.0	12.7	0.28	14.9	15.8	-0.96
T.J. McConnell	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-5	6	11.7	14.1	-2.35	15.9	14.8	1.12
Myles Turner	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	3	-10	13.5	12.3	1.20	15.6	15.3	0.26
Tyrese Haliburton	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	13.0	12.2	0.76	15.6	14.8	0.85
Pascal Siakam	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	1	-6	12.4	13.8	-1.34	14.8	17.3	-2.45
Bennedict Mathurin	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	3	-10	13.2	11.9	1.33	15.8	14.7	1.01
Andrew Nembhard	64	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	13.1	12.2	0.89	15.4	15.4	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 121, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.17,0,0	93.1%
SEA 103, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.0%
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.9%