NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	121		Excitement	7.4 [375]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (MIN): +22.3%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.1 [556]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -18.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	12	77%	0.27	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	18	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Mark Madsen	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.05	15	61%	0.11	4	-0.13	11	91%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	10	68%	0.14	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	16	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.01	14	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	12	38%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	23	45%	-0.12	3	-0.06	10	40%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	29.5	15.5	23.4	1.6	40.7	140.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +51.7%

SAC -6.4%

MIN +23.1%

SAC -20.7%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.7	15.5	119.8	108.9	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		106.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.9		106.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	18.1	13.1	12.9	14.8
SAC	13.9	13.8	14.1	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	52	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-2	15	12.9	16.8	-3.87	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Wally Szczerbiak	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	3	5	15.6	13.4	2.22	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Kevin Garnett	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	5	1	15.2	13.2	2.01	14.0	12.7	1.29
Eddie Griffin	57	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	14.9	14.6	0.26	13.4	14.1	-0.65
Mark Madsen	24	26	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	0	11	14.0	15.0	-1.08	15.2	13.2	1.97
Fred Hoiberg	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.88	13.1	14.2	-1.05
Latrell Sprewell	53	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.3	13.1	1.17
Trenton Hassell	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	13.2	16.0	-2.81	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Michael Olowokandi	38	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	14.8	14.7	0.10	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Troy Hudson	49	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	16.8	12.9	3.87	13.8	13.7	0.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-16	21	12.7	14.0	-1.23	18.2	14.0	4.16
Matt Barnes	27	28	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-15	19	13.3	13.9	-0.55	15.8	14.4	1.39
Doug Christie	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-7	3	14.5	12.7	1.74	14.9	14.7	0.20
Darius Songaila	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-9	7	13.6	13.8	-0.16	15.0	14.7	0.34
Mike Bibby	85	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	13.4	15.2	-1.80	15.3	11.6	3.74
Chris Webber	81	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	13.9	12.9	0.98	13.8	18.3	-4.46
Bobby Jackson	51	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	1	-13	13.3	14.2	-0.97	15.1	14.5	0.56
Peja Stojakovic	82	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	6	-23	13.9	13.2	0.71	13.7	19.0	-5.32
Brad Miller	66	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	3	-17	13.9	13.4	0.55	14.8	14.8	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.17,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%
IND 88, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.8%
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.8%