NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	120		Excitement	5.0 [293]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +19.8%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	1.0 [132]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -14.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.03	-0.03	17	71%	0.26	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.07	13	82%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	16	44%	-0.06	6	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	68%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	90%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.03	21	61%	0.08	5	-0.09	9	67%	-0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.08	17	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	15	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	5.4	25.5	15.3	29.3	1.8	32.6	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.3%

DET +6.6%

DET +17.7%

NYK -5.9%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	14.3	116.5	111.0	111.8
season	14.3	15.2		110.7	119.9
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.4	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	11.9	14.7	13.5	17.4	14.2
NYK	14.8	14.7	13.2	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	74	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-7	23	13.9	15.0	-1.07	14.8	12.4	2.37
Jalen Duren	49	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-9	27	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.0	12.2	3.88
Tobias Harris	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	13.8	15.1	-1.28	15.0	12.3	2.73
Malik Beasley	59	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	3	3	14.7	13.7	1.00	13.1	15.4	-2.33
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	9	-9	13.8	14.9	-1.15	15.1	12.5	2.58
Simone Fontecchio	42	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	0	9	15.0	13.7	1.21	12.7	15.1	-2.43
Ronald Holland II	41	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	11	-13	15.5	13.4	2.04	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Jaden Ivey	63	60	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	7	-5	13.8	14.9	-1.09	13.9	14.5	-0.56
Isaiah Stewart	54	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	18	-27	14.0	14.4	-0.41	12.2	16.0	-3.88

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Kolek	9	9	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-13	17	13.4	14.2	-0.76	15.3	14.1	1.21
Precious Achiuwa	56	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-18	27	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.8	13.4	1.40
Jericho Sims	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	0	-9	18.5	13.5	4.97	11.1	14.6	-3.57
Mikal Bridges	82	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	13.8	15.7	-1.93	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Ariel Hukporti	34	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	4	-17	12.5	15.0	-2.44	14.4	14.1	0.28
Miles McBride	56	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	5	-19	13.3	15.2	-1.94	14.4	14.0	0.41
Josh Hart	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-6	3	14.8	11.6	3.19	14.5	13.2	1.28
Jalen Brunson	90	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	14.3	12.5	1.82	14.4	12.6	1.79
OG Anunoby	81	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	1	-11	14.3	13.5	0.76	14.0	15.6	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 116, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%