NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	8.7 [182]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +51.4%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	3.3 [505]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -20.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.14	-0.04	0.03	25	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	25	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Bobby Portis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.04	-0.04	15	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	-0.02	10	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.22	0.32	0.02	20	71%	0.53	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	10	80%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	14	67%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.02	21	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	10	25%	-0.09	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	26.3	15.4	29.5	3.3	34.8	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.5%

MIL -3.7%

MIL -10.3%

BOS +1.5%

MIL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	14.4	110.5	118.1	113.1
season	14.4	15.2		113.5	119.0
opponent	14.3	14.2		109.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	14.7	16.6	15.3	15.3
BOS	14.5	13.5	17.7	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	40	40	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-13	20	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.1	14.4	1.67
AJ Green	46	45	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-11	16	15.2	15.4	-0.23	15.6	14.7	0.84
Taurean Prince	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	0	-6	16.5	15.1	1.42	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Andre Jackson Jr.	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	2	-10	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Khris Middleton	47	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-9	12	13.9	16.7	-2.86	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Gary Trent Jr.	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	0	-6	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.8	13.1	2.76
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.9	16.9	-1.99	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Damian Lillard	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.4	1.15	14.8	17.2	-2.44
Brook Lopez	75	75	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.34	-14	8	-22	16.0	12.8	3.15	15.0	15.8	-0.88

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-8	22	14.8	16.5	-1.79	15.6	14.3	1.35
Derrick White	75	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-6	18	14.9	16.3	-1.41	15.4	15.1	0.24
Jaylen Brown	67	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	1	4	14.9	15.6	-0.69	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Jrue Holiday	66	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	2	2	14.9	15.6	-0.72	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Al Horford	71	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	2	2	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Neemias Queta	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.9	14.9	1.99
Payton Pritchard	47	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	10	-14	15.9	14.4	1.51	16.0	14.8	1.20
Sam Hauser	47	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	13	-20	16.0	14.3	1.77	15.5	15.2	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	91.8%
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	91.4%
GSW 112, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.66,0.82,1	91.3%