NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	132		Excitement	13.6 [1]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +51.5%
Atlanta Hawks	134		Comeback	7.6 [87]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -18.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.49	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.61,0.61,0.49	0.18	0.29	-0.01	25	70%	0.63	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Gabe Vincent	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.18	-0.01	11	55%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	6	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	9	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Cam Reddish	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armel Traore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,-0.09	0.07	-0.16	-0.01	27	61%	0.51	6	-0.60	8	100%	0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.16	0.34	-0.01	15	76%	0.58	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	8	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	13	69%	0.31	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.2,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	-0.00	25	53%	0.24	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	60%	0.11	1	-0.11	3	33%	-0.06
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	8	60%	0.09	6	-0.27	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	35.4	15.5	27.2	1.8	31.4	2.6	21.5	161.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.6	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -10.2%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +32.2%

ATL +21.6%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.3	114.8	115.5	111.9
season	14.8	13.2		111.9	111.5
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.0	13.1	15.3	14.7	13.0	14.5
ATL	14.0	11.3	13.5	14.1	12.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	58	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.32	14.7	11.3	3.38
Armel Traore	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	5	-12	15.8	14.4	1.41	7.7	13.6	-5.83
Max Christie	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	5	-12	15.1	13.8	1.29	13.1	12.8	0.35
D'Angelo Russell	47	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.4	0.38	12.3	13.5	-1.16
Anthony Davis	90	92	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.1	16.2	-2.12	13.3	11.7	1.63
Rui Hachimura	87	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	14.3	15.2	-0.89	13.5	11.5	2.02
Gabe Vincent	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-6	10	14.0	15.5	-1.55	13.1	12.8	0.31
Cam Reddish	47	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	6	-14	15.6	13.8	1.82	11.3	14.1	-2.78
LeBron James	94	97	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-5	8	14.5	14.6	-0.10	12.8	14.3	-1.51

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	61	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.39	18	-16	34	12.8	13.3	-0.49	15.5	13.4	2.10
Jalen Johnson	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	12.3	14.5	-2.26	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Clint Capela	54	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	14.1	12.0	2.04	13.3	15.5	-2.21
De'Andre Hunter	76	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	7	-12	13.4	12.1	1.30	13.7	15.9	-2.18
Trae Young	92	89	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.46	-6	8	-14	13.7	10.2	3.57	13.9	16.8	-2.88
Vit Krejci	30	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-4	10	11.0	13.7	-2.65	16.3	13.8	2.52
Onyeka Okongwu	62	63	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	12.0	14.1	-2.04	15.5	13.3	2.21
Zaccharie Risacher	46	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	4	-6	12.6	13.3	-0.68	15.8	13.7	2.07
Dyson Daniels	79	78	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	11	-20	13.6	11.7	1.87	14.0	15.7	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.54,0.75,0.54,0.25,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.42,1	88.2%
POR 118, SAC 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.32,0.36,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.42,1	87.5%
TOR 123, BOS 126	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.34,0.73,1	87.3%