NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	7.0 [145]		MVP	Jonathan Kuminga (GSW): +31.0%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.7 [133]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -17.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	13	54%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Reed Sheppard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	16	36%	-0.10	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.17	-0.00	22	66%	0.41	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	62%	0.16	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	25.2	15.3	28.6	2.5	40.5	138.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.7%

GSW +10.2%

GSW +21.9%

HOU -8.4%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.3	94.9	101.0	111.9
season	14.5	13.9		111.3	110.6
opponent	14.5	14.2		109.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	15.0	14.5	14.4	14.8
GSW	15.1	13.8	14.9	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	26	26	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-12	18	14.8	14.8	-0.00	14.9	14.4	0.52
Steven Adams	35	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-16	26	14.9	14.8	0.15	16.2	13.7	2.47
Amen Thompson	47	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.17	3	-9	12	14.2	15.5	-1.26	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Aaron Holiday	32	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.4	15.5	-2.14	13.9	14.8	-0.92
Alperen Sengun	59	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	4	-14	15.4	14.0	1.45	13.7	16.0	-2.35
Dillon Brooks	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.7	0.27	14.8	13.9	0.96
Jalen Green	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	15.4	13.3	2.10	14.8	13.8	0.94
Fred VanVleet	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.7	0.20	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Jabari Smith Jr.	74	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	9	-24	14.7	15.2	-0.48	14.4	15.1	-0.77

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	57	55	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.18	21	-15	36	13.7	15.8	-2.09	15.4	14.1	1.26
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-8	22	13.5	17.1	-3.64	15.0	14.4	0.62
Brandin Podziemski	75	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-7	20	15.2	12.4	2.75	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Jonathan Kuminga	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-1	8	15.3	12.8	2.43	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Buddy Hield	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-12	30	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.3	14.3	1.05
Kyle Anderson	27	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	7	-8	12.9	15.2	-2.33	15.1	14.7	0.32
Gary Payton II	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.38	-14	20	-34	14.9	14.3	0.58	13.6	15.6	-1.99
Pat Spencer	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	8	-10	14.4	14.6	-0.14	16.2	14.6	1.51
Moses Moody	46	47	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	15	-24	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.9	14.8	0.13
Trayce Jackson-Davis	41	42	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.17	-17	23	-40	15.8	13.7	2.09	14.3	15.3	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%
VAN 81, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%
BKN 118, LAL 125	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	92.3%