NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	81		Excitement	6.3 [520]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +21.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	1.7 [896]		LVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): -19.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	15	85%	0.26	6	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	40%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	19	48%	-0.05	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Michael Dickerson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	14	20%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.06	-0.04	20	67%	0.26	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	17	44%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.06	-0.00	11	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	21	43%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	27.6	16.4	23.4	1.7	24.2	120.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.4%

VAN -6.6%

VAN -2.7%

MIL +15.1%

VAN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	MIL	NBA	VAN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.5	83.5	97.9	100.9
season	15.6	14.9		97.4	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	11.7	17.9	15.4	17.1	15.2
MIL	14.1	14.0	14.6	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	16.2	14.8	1.42	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Erick Strickland	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-12	12	16.2	13.5	2.70	15.5	13.4	2.05
Damon Jones	2	2	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-6	0	11.5	15.3	-3.82	9.5	14.9	-5.37
Grant Long	53	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-2	-8	14.6	16.0	-1.35	15.4	14.0	1.37
Mike Bibby	89	89	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-6	0	15.1	16.9	-1.79	14.9	13.3	1.52
Michael Dickerson	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-11	10	14.9	16.0	-1.15	15.2	13.8	1.39
Stromile Swift	33	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	16.3	14.7	1.66	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Bryant Reeves	60	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	1	-14	15.1	15.5	-0.36	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	91	90	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.11	-17	5	-22	14.8	21.8	-7.03	14.7	15.8	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Pope	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-3	18	15.9	13.5	2.43	16.5	13.8	2.76
Jason Caffey	55	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-2	16	13.6	16.3	-2.71	13.8	17.3	-3.51
Ray Allen	77	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-1	14	15.2	12.8	2.37	14.3	19.6	-5.30
Ervin Johnson	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	4	4	15.3	14.1	1.17	16.9	13.2	3.72
Scott Williams	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	11	-10	13.6	16.8	-3.13	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Sam Cassell	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	8	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.89	15.2	15.2	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	50	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	3	6	14.7	14.8	-0.12	16.6	13.7	2.89
Tim Thomas	64	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	16	-20	15.3	13.7	1.56	14.4	16.8	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.2%
MIL 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.2%
POR 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	92.1%