inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 127 Excitement8.5 [81] MVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): +37.5%
Sacramento Kings 125 Comeback4.5 [34] LVPStephon Castle (SAS): -23.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama0.380,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.380.180.210.011779%0.525-0.14978%0.02
Devin Vassell0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.36,0.360.160.19-0.011287%0.392-0.0400%0.00
Keldon Johnson0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.220.120.100.001071%0.2200.00450%-0.04
Julian Champagnie0.160,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.010.011076%0.1600.005100%0.02
Tre Jones0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.060.012117%0.1400.002100%0.02
Chris Paul0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.080.020.050.001059%0.132-0.052100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.04-0.01750%0.071-0.032100%0.03
Zach Collins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Charles Bassey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.10-0.120.011233%-0.103-0.1300%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.012057%0.1300.00989%0.04
Malik Monk0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.10.100.090.020.011468%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Isaac Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.03-0.01771%0.112-0.02367%-0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.060.06-0.000.05-0.012348%0.112-0.052100%0.02
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00667%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.07-0.030.061660%0.072-0.091070%-0.01
Colby Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.00944%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.832.315.423.81.837.4138.0
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +84.4%
SAS +8.0%
SAC -21.1%
SAC -22.5%
SAS +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game14.913.814.3125.7125.0111.9
season14.413.8111.0114.2
opponent14.914.3112.2112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.513.314.516.314.9
SAC12.214.414.314.313.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Victor Wembanyama76760.89-0.391.290.3419-173614.516.0-1.5014.411.92.51
Chris Paul68690.75-0.251.000.3414-122615.613.42.1514.113.11.04
Keldon Johnson61600.260.240.030.56-1012-2215.713.62.1012.815.2-2.41
Julian Champagnie69680.250.250.010.028-61414.316.2-1.8813.813.8-0.05
Tre Jones29300.230.27-0.04-0.0610-81812.915.7-2.7215.213.21.98
Stephon Castle68680.220.28-0.060.42-79-1615.214.30.8913.813.70.14
Devin Vassell51480.190.31-0.110.46-911-2015.014.70.3413.214.3-1.06
Harrison Barnes58570.090.41-0.320.0320214.415.6-1.2014.113.30.76
Zach Collins1211-0.120.62-0.74-0.03-35-814.714.9-0.1414.113.70.35
Charles Bassey1313-0.280.78-1.050.13-1416-3017.214.52.6210.014.3-4.34

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaac Jones4241-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-81413.613.9-0.2414.914.9-0.03
Keon Ellis3536-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-3414.213.60.6513.815.5-1.70
Jae Crowder2423-0.02-0.480.460.04-20-214.413.60.8413.715.2-1.58
Colby Jones1516-0.23-0.270.040.03-97-1615.313.51.8314.215.0-0.81
Keegan Murray7979-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-42-613.913.40.5114.815.2-0.40
De'Aaron Fox7777-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-31-413.614.2-0.5714.715.3-0.55
DeMar DeRozan7678-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-2213.614.4-0.8415.213.71.58
Malik Monk7678-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-2213.614.4-0.8415.213.71.58
Domantas Sabonis7677-0.500.00-0.50-0.531-3413.614.4-0.8415.413.22.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 91, IND 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.01,091.6%
BOS 113, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.06,0,091.3%
LAL 123, ATL 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.04,091.2%