NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	10.5 [15]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): +40.8%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	3.8 [103]		LVP	Tari Eason (HOU): -16.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cason Wallace	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.29,0.29	0.07	0.24	0.01	11	58%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.01	-0.06	12	54%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.07	0.16	-0.06	0.03	19	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.07	0.01	12	70%	0.19	1	-0.15	3	33%	-0.03
Dillon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	21	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.41	0.41	0.28	0.17	0.04	19	73%	0.43	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.07
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.02	11	67%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.00	0.16	-0.03	17	48%	0.23	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	8	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	27.7	15.4	33.5	1.7	48.2	155.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.0%

HOU +16.1%

HOU +27.4%

HOU +2.8%

OKC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	14.6	14.3	116.0	116.7	111.9
season	14.0	14.5		113.2	111.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		105.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	13.2	12.0	16.0	13.9
HOU	14.0	14.5	13.6	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Jones	24	26	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-11	19	11.7	14.6	-2.92	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Luguentz Dort	56	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-5	7	14.3	13.5	0.85	15.0	14.1	0.88
Ajay Mitchell	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	14.8	13.8	1.02	15.2	14.5	0.73
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	76	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-9	15	13.6	15.1	-1.57	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Aaron Wiggins	53	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	2	-7	14.6	13.1	1.47	15.7	13.2	2.48
Isaiah Joe	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	0	-3	13.3	14.2	-0.85	14.3	14.7	-0.33
Cason Wallace	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	13.7	14.7	-0.97	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Jalen Williams	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-3	3	13.7	14.9	-1.21	14.7	14.0	0.73
Kenrich Williams	31	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	11	-25	14.3	13.8	0.48	12.9	15.3	-2.41
Isaiah Hartenstein	61	63	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	4	-11	14.8	12.5	2.32	15.2	13.6	1.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	81	82	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-7	17	14.8	13.8	1.03	14.4	11.7	2.76
Jalen Green	71	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-5	13	14.5	14.7	-0.23	14.6	12.5	2.09
Dillon Brooks	63	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	3	-3	14.0	15.5	-1.51	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Fred VanVleet	78	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	13.8	17.0	-3.11	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Alperen Sengun	80	79	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	3	-3	15.0	12.9	2.13	14.3	12.4	1.96
Steven Adams	8	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-2	7	12.0	14.8	-2.80	13.9	13.9	-0.08
Reed Sheppard	19	19	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-2	7	15.4	14.4	0.97	14.8	13.7	1.06
Tari Eason	54	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	9	-15	14.9	14.2	0.62	12.9	15.0	-2.10
Amen Thompson	56	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	8	-13	15.2	13.8	1.37	13.0	15.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.35,0.46,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.58,1	90.2%
BOS 99, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.53,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.58,1	90.1%
MIA 93, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.77,0.58,1	90.1%