NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	10.3 [65]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +46.0%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	6.3 [184]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -74.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0.38	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	6	87%	0.40	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Jayson Tatum	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26	0.03	0.24	0.01	13	52%	0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	110%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	5	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.09	0.05	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Carsen Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Javonte Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	0.01	-0.08	0.04	12	52%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Jaylen Brown	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	16	56%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.75	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.75	-0.16	-0.59	-0.01	16	16%	-0.75	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.65,0.46	0.46	0.20	0.26	-0.00	24	73%	0.72	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.21	-0.02	7	45%	0.29	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	14	43%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	10	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.3	14.5	24.4	2.5	36.6	133.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +93.3%

BOS -10.9%

BOS -14.2%

BOS -23.1%

SAC +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.2	103.1	104.2	109.6
season	14.5	14.3		112.0	109.0
opponent	14.5	14.4		110.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.9	12.6	13.3	17.0	14.6
SAC	14.1	16.2	14.3	17.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semi Ojeleye	43	43	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-7	13	13.7	15.4	-1.68	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Enes Kanter	37	37	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-6	11	14.6	14.6	-0.02	16.1	15.0	1.07
Carsen Edwards	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	15.4	14.3	1.12	16.7	14.9	1.81
Brad Wanamaker	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	1	-3	15.0	14.3	0.69	16.3	14.8	1.52
Robert Williams III	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	12	-25	19.3	13.9	5.40	13.1	15.7	-2.64
Javonte Green	11	11	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	12	-25	20.6	13.8	6.81	12.4	15.8	-3.42
Jayson Tatum	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.64	12	-13	25	14.3	15.2	-0.90	16.4	13.9	2.49
Daniel Theis	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.51	7	-8	15	13.4	15.8	-2.35	15.5	15.3	0.14
Kemba Walker	68	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-1	1	14.1	15.7	-1.62	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Jaylen Brown	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	4	-9	14.6	14.7	-0.14	15.0	16.8	-1.82
Marcus Smart	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	2	-5	14.5	14.9	-0.43	15.1	16.0	-0.93

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	54	55	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.59	6	-5	11	14.6	16.4	-1.75	14.6	14.6	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	59	60	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	15.6	15.0	0.60	15.4	13.2	2.26
Harrison Barnes	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-3	7	14.6	17.3	-2.67	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Richaun Holmes	53	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	0	1	15.7	15.1	0.59	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Buddy Hield	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-5	11	14.7	18.4	-3.75	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Nemanja Bjelica	63	63	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	0	1	15.8	14.6	1.16	14.7	14.5	0.14
Dewayne Dedmon	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	-5	11	13.1	16.0	-2.90	16.2	14.1	2.09
Harry Giles III	23	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	7	-13	16.8	15.0	1.82	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Trevor Ariza	30	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	11	-21	16.4	15.0	1.41	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Yogi Ferrell	32	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	5	-9	17.9	14.1	3.81	14.9	14.5	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.46,0.53,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	90.6%
LAL 110, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.42,1	90.6%