inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Excitement9.5 [46] MVPKyle Anderson (GSW): +19.4%
Golden State Warriors 101 Comeback3.0 [187] LVPJonathan Kuminga (GSW): -27.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Hartenstein0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.010.10-0.01864%0.194-0.09667%-0.00
Cason Wallace0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.01590%0.0600.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.020.011265%0.122-0.08250%-0.03
Aaron Wiggins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00570%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams0.020,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00665%0.062-0.04862%-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.08,0,-0.06,-0.21,-0.02,-0.010.03-0.020.022853%0.063-0.061060%-0.08
Dillon Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.010.02333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Ajay Mitchell-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.040.01812%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.060.12-0.01856%0.1900.00250%-0.03
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.130.050.02894%0.242-0.072100%0.01
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00550%0.042-0.082100%0.01
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0140%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.00-0.12-0.001052%-0.072-0.043100%0.01
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.011145%-0.073-0.0600%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.080.00525%-0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Lindy Waters III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.13-0.03725%-0.1500.00250%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.23-0.23-0.03-0.180.021641%-0.171-0.06771%-0.01
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27-0.27-0.02-0.250.002144%-0.162-0.1210%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.632.416.325.73.438.4144.7
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +79.7%
GSW -15.4%
GSW -38.5%
OKC +18.3%
OKC +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.414.314.3106.199.0111.9
season13.914.0113.5110.4
opponent14.614.7109.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.914.717.214.314.4
GSW15.811.616.314.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Hartenstein66670.74-0.240.980.4211-71813.416.4-2.9514.314.20.10
Isaiah Joe66680.64-0.140.780.495-1614.015.1-1.0914.214.3-0.09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander80810.480.020.460.335-1614.514.10.3614.114.9-0.75
Luguentz Dort67690.430.070.350.46-15-614.115.1-0.9913.416.0-2.61
Cason Wallace66690.380.120.260.44-26-814.813.51.3614.513.80.66
Jalen Williams38380.160.34-0.190.0440412.115.8-3.7114.214.3-0.17
Aaron Wiggins29290.130.37-0.24-0.056-2814.414.40.0815.413.81.61
Dillon Jones2326-0.070.57-0.63-0.0704-415.314.11.2415.813.72.02
Ajay Mitchell3233-0.160.66-0.82-0.04-48-1216.713.33.3913.114.8-1.78
Kenrich Williams2830-0.220.72-0.94-0.10-48-1216.713.53.2415.213.91.28

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Spencer33300.38-0.881.260.129-132213.114.8-1.7814.914.20.77
Buddy Hield48470.28-0.781.070.116-101614.114.4-0.3014.913.91.03
Moses Moody28250.01-0.510.530.010-4413.914.4-0.4615.214.11.08
Kyle Anderson3835-0.03-0.470.440.15-62-814.314.20.0415.513.81.64
Trayce Jackson-Davis77-0.13-0.370.240.10-84-1218.014.04.0115.714.31.42
Gary Payton II1412-0.15-0.350.210.09-84-1215.314.11.1815.214.30.97
Kevon Looney2424-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-3215.513.91.6214.814.30.52
Draymond Green7168-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-91413.516.1-2.5914.115.0-0.88
Jonathan Kuminga5960-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.512-6814.114.6-0.5113.815.3-1.47
Andrew Wiggins7474-0.510.01-0.53-0.40-40-414.413.90.4614.115.2-1.08
Brandin Podziemski6665-0.650.15-0.81-0.54-40-414.314.3-0.0214.314.5-0.21
Lindy Waters III5251-0.790.29-1.07-0.52-95-1414.913.61.2313.815.0-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 140, NYK 1340.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.31,0.01,091.9%
DEN 102, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.24,0.15,091.6%
WAS 94, ORL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.08,091.6%