NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	7.1 [438]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +36.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	21.6 [57]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): -14.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.18	0.18	-0.00	16	77%	0.39	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21	-0.01	0.20	-0.02	22	53%	0.32	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	17	66%	0.21	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.04	5	80%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	6	121%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	2	90%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.03	11	59%	0.18	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	24	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	32.5	15.3	29.7	1.7	28.7	136.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.2%

MIN -11.8%

SAC +35.2%

SAC +5.1%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.4	115.0	104.0	113.1
season	14.3	14.7		115.1	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	13.6	16.4	13.6	14.9
MIN	13.3	12.5	13.0	17.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	67	68	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-4	19	14.5	15.8	-1.27	15.0	11.6	3.38
Jae Crowder	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-5	21	14.6	15.4	-0.81	14.6	13.0	1.59
Keegan Murray	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	0	11	15.1	13.9	1.19	13.9	13.7	0.22
Malik Monk	71	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	14.4	16.2	-1.88	13.7	14.4	-0.66
De'Aaron Fox	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	5	1	15.5	12.8	2.72	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Kevin Huerter	33	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	2	7	13.9	15.4	-1.45	12.9	14.3	-1.38
Alex Len	16	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	9	-7	15.4	14.8	0.63	11.1	14.3	-3.19
Jordan McLaughlin	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	11	-11	21.0	14.7	6.34	13.0	13.9	-0.93
Keon Ellis	45	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	14	-17	14.5	15.2	-0.73	15.0	13.0	1.99
Doug McDermott	3	3	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	16	-21	15.0	14.9	0.09	12.7	13.9	-1.26
Isaac Jones	45	45	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	21	-31	15.8	14.2	1.62	12.9	14.7	-1.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	52	56	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.26	-5	-6	1	11.8	16.1	-4.30	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Donte DiVincenzo	59	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.23	-9	-2	-7	12.2	16.4	-4.20	14.1	16.1	-1.97
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-7	3	12.8	14.7	-1.86	14.9	14.9	-0.09
Rob Dillingham	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-5	-1	11.2	14.3	-3.06	13.8	15.1	-1.22
Anthony Edwards	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-6	1	14.4	12.3	2.10	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Jaden McDaniels	45	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-13	15	15.6	12.5	3.15	16.2	13.8	2.38
Mike Conley	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	0	-11	14.9	12.0	2.86	15.1	14.5	0.59
Julius Randle	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	-3	-5	14.7	11.9	2.77	15.0	14.6	0.40
Rudy Gobert	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	-2	-7	14.6	11.7	2.82	15.0	14.5	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.28,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.86,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.16,0.03,0	89.2%
POR 100, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.36,0.06,0.05,0	89.1%
CHI 106, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.75,0.37,0.23,0.03,0	89.0%