NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	103		Excitement	7.9 [296]		MVP	Davon Reed (DEN): +17.8%
LA Clippers	100		Comeback	6.3 [303]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -10.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davon Reed	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	8	88%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	8	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	18	46%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	24	47%	0.16	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.08
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.07
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	51%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	17	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	25.6	14.5	27.2	2.4	35.0	130.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +17.1%

DEN +8.1%

DEN +16.6%

DEN +3.4%

DEN +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	14.5	104.0	101.0	110.8
season	14.8	14.6		113.4	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.2	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.3	15.8	16.3	13.7	15.5
LAC	13.7	13.0	12.0	15.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monte Morris	67	65	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.57	11	-8	19	15.1	16.5	-1.46	14.4	11.9	2.49
Austin Rivers	63	62	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-2	7	15.0	16.5	-1.50	14.5	11.9	2.64
Will Barton	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.60	-2	5	-7	15.8	14.9	0.84	13.9	12.6	1.31
Davon Reed	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-5	13	14.9	16.4	-1.51	13.8	13.2	0.53
Nikola Jokic	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.63	-7	10	-17	15.3	16.5	-1.17	13.9	12.2	1.75
Jeff Green	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	2	-1	16.0	15.2	0.78	13.7	13.4	0.28
JaMychal Green	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.22	10	-7	17	16.5	15.3	1.17	12.2	13.9	-1.75
Vlatko Cancar	32	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	3	-3	15.8	15.4	0.44	12.1	14.3	-2.18
Bones Hyland	31	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	8	-13	15.9	15.4	0.57	12.0	14.3	-2.24
Facundo Campazzo	34	36	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.19	-6	9	-15	16.9	14.8	2.08	11.7	14.6	-2.87

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	40	41	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.16	8	-11	19	11.7	14.8	-3.05	16.0	15.2	0.78
Amir Coffey	51	49	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-7	11	12.3	14.9	-2.54	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Brandon Boston Jr.	71	69	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-4	5	13.1	14.7	-1.68	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Terance Mann	72	73	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.45	16	-19	35	13.3	14.1	-0.83	16.6	12.5	4.08
Keon Johnson	24	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	3	-9	12.7	13.8	-1.05	16.6	15.3	1.36
Justise Winslow	12	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	13	-29	15.6	13.3	2.32	13.5	15.8	-2.33
Eric Bledsoe	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-4	5	13.7	12.9	0.83	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Ivica Zubac	55	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.59	-4	1	-5	14.5	12.4	2.05	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Luke Kennard	33	36	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	7	-17	15.3	12.7	2.59	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Nicolas Batum	62	62	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.55	-9	6	-15	14.5	12.0	2.51	15.0	16.5	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.86,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.16,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.04,0	89.2%
PHX 122, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.02,0,0	88.8%
POR 102, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.54,0.46,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	88.6%