NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	9.4 [42]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +32.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	2.1 [203]		LVP	Jared McCain (PHI): -27.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.22	0.01	0.04	20	76%	0.36	5	-0.17	14	93%	0.10
Amen Thompson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.01	10	79%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Tari Eason	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	65%	0.19	4	-0.12	12	83%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Reed Sheppard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.04	-0.03	11	0%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.32	0.06	0.23	-0.03	34	53%	0.48	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.16
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	12	69%	0.24	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.07
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	12	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jared McCain	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	19	36%	-0.11	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	27.8	14.7	30.6	2.5	33.4	2.3	20.4	160.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.5	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.7%

PHI -1.6%

HOU +26.4%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +14.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	13.2	15.0	14.3	108.9	101.8	111.9
season	14.5	15.2		111.3	107.1
opponent	14.3	14.2		111.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	12.2	12.2	13.4	15.0	13.8	13.2
PHI	15.3	14.0	15.4	14.4	18.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	88	88	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-9	25	13.1	13.7	-0.55	15.3	14.1	1.16
Amen Thompson	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	3	1	13.3	13.1	0.20	14.6	16.3	-1.67
Alperen Sengun	73	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	6	-5	13.8	12.1	1.73	15.1	14.9	0.20
Jalen Green	84	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	13.7	11.7	2.07	15.4	14.1	1.31
Aaron Holiday	12	13	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	0	7	13.7	13.2	0.49	15.5	15.0	0.58
Tari Eason	59	60	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	-2	11	12.0	14.6	-2.57	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Steven Adams	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	11.9	13.5	-1.59	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Reed Sheppard	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	8	-9	11.6	13.5	-1.88	13.1	15.3	-2.18
Dillon Brooks	65	66	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	11	-15	13.3	13.2	0.07	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Jabari Smith Jr.	51	54	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	18	-29	13.7	12.8	0.91	15.4	14.7	0.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	58	57	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.11	9	-16	25	14.2	15.9	-1.61	13.3	13.2	0.06
Reggie Jackson	12	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	13.7	15.2	-1.43	12.8	13.3	-0.44
Eric Gordon	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	3	-13	13.4	15.3	-1.97	11.3	13.6	-2.26
KJ Martin	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	14.1	15.7	-1.68	13.2	13.2	-0.03
Andre Drummond	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	0	-7	15.7	14.3	1.40	12.9	13.6	-0.70
Tyrese Maxey	95	94	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.2	14.2	1.02	13.2	13.5	-0.32
Guerschon Yabusele	90	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-6	5	15.2	14.3	0.91	13.6	11.9	1.65
Kelly Oubre Jr.	96	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	3	-13	15.3	13.3	2.04	13.6	11.6	1.93
Jared McCain	88	87	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	3	-13	15.4	13.6	1.78	13.3	13.2	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 113, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,0	91.1%
MIA 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,0	89.8%
NYK 88, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.09,0	89.3%