NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	7.2 [132]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +26.3%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	2.6 [283]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -11.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	21	62%	0.22	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	11	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04
Deandre Ayton	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	73%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.06	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rayan Rupert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	19	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jabari Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.00	20	66%	0.28	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	15	76%	0.27	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	16	63%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	17	44%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	32.6	15.3	25.3	4.6	31.4	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.7%

IND +5.9%

IND +25.0%

IND +4.1%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	14.3	121.3	130.1	111.9
season	14.3	13.7		107.3	111.8
opponent	14.7	14.3		114.7	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.2	17.4	17.0	16.3
IND	13.9	13.8	13.1	17.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rayan Rupert	9	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-11	15	13.2	16.7	-3.45	10.5	14.9	-4.43
Dalano Banton	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-13	19	16.4	16.3	0.05	15.2	14.1	1.12
Jabari Walker	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	16.1	16.4	-0.25	13.1	14.9	-1.78
Shaedon Sharpe	71	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	16.8	15.0	1.83	15.5	11.7	3.79
Deandre Ayton	68	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-4	1	16.0	17.2	-1.12	14.7	13.8	0.90
Deni Avdija	80	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	16.4	15.7	0.74	14.8	12.7	2.05
Toumani Camara	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	3	-13	16.0	16.7	-0.67	13.3	15.7	-2.33
Scoot Henderson	65	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	16.9	15.1	1.74	14.6	14.0	0.68
Anfernee Simons	75	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	8	-23	16.2	16.7	-0.50	14.1	15.6	-1.45

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	79	79	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.21	22	-15	37	13.8	18.1	-4.26	16.1	17.5	-1.42
Myles Turner	71	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.17	22	-15	37	14.7	13.7	0.95	16.8	14.7	2.16
Tyrese Haliburton	72	74	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.25	17	-10	27	14.7	13.7	1.01	16.8	14.7	2.08
Quenton Jackson	61	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	14.9	13.5	1.40	16.7	15.6	1.08
Pascal Siakam	72	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	6	-5	14.8	13.2	1.57	16.8	14.6	2.15
Obi Toppin	33	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	13.5	14.9	-1.40	15.2	17.0	-1.74
T.J. McConnell	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	15	-23	13.8	14.8	-1.02	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Moses Brown	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	14	-21	13.8	14.5	-0.75	12.4	16.7	-4.33
Johnny Furphy	16	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	14.4	14.5	-0.09	18.3	15.9	2.38
Jarace Walker	21	20	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.14	-19	26	-45	15.5	14.2	1.32	14.3	16.9	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.67,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	92.7%
MIA 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%
MIN 85, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%