NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	6.6 [502]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +27.8%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	3.2 [732]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -15.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	12	56%	0.04	5	-0.16	1	0%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	15	42%	-0.05	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.11	0.01	14	75%	0.32	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.06
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	82%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.10	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	46%	0.02	5	-0.15	12	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	27.6	15.8	31.2	2.5	35.6	136.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.9%

IND +25.6%

IND +24.6%

CHA -17.7%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.6	102.2	108.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		100.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	17.3	14.6	14.3	15.1
IND	18.3	17.0	16.1	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	41	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-6	6	15.7	14.6	1.16	17.2	16.7	0.49
Alan Anderson	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	14.8	15.3	-0.54	18.1	16.2	1.83
Jumaine Jones	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	15.0	15.2	-0.12	17.1	16.7	0.39
Matt Carroll	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-8	10	14.1	15.5	-1.36	16.3	17.1	-0.78
Raymond Felton	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	14.4	16.7	-2.34	16.6	17.6	-1.02
Gerald Wallace	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	14.9	15.9	-1.00	16.6	18.4	-1.81
Keith Bogans	31	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	1	-8	16.2	14.5	1.72	17.8	16.4	1.33
Brevin Knight	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	2	-10	15.6	12.2	3.35	16.6	18.3	-1.64
Primoz Brezec	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	15.1	15.2	-0.13	16.7	17.2	-0.54

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	16.6	18.8	-2.18	15.4	13.6	1.74
Fred Jones	71	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-3	12	16.6	17.8	-1.19	15.4	14.1	1.22
Anthony Johnson	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	16.7	18.1	-1.38	15.2	14.5	0.66
Austin Croshere	58	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-1	8	16.0	18.6	-2.58	14.8	15.7	-0.93
David Harrison	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-3	12	17.2	16.7	0.49	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Sarunas Jasikevicius	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	9	-12	17.0	16.7	0.33	15.2	14.9	0.31
Eddie Gill	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	23.8	16.5	7.31	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Danny Granger	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	11	-16	18.4	15.8	2.57	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Jeff Foster	32	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	12	-18	16.9	16.9	0.06	16.2	14.4	1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
HOU 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.7%
MIN 94, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.96,1	93.1%