NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	128		Excitement	7.7 [144]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (BKN): +38.7%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	16.9 [6]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -7.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39	0.17	0.22	0.00	18	72%	0.44	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Jalen Wilson	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.00	11	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Cam Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Trendon Watford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrese Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.06	0.02	11	68%	0.11	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.02	17	74%	0.31	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.00	8	94%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.05	0.05	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	12	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	32.5	15.4	27.9	1.8	39.2	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +37.3%

BKN +25.9%

GSW -4.0%

GSW -3.0%

GSW -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	GSW	NBA	BKN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	14.3	128.0	121.2	112.0
season	15.4	13.9		110.8	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.2		109.1	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.5	16.2	15.3	16.0	15.5
GSW	12.7	14.5	14.1	12.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	85	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-10	28	15.2	17.0	-1.79	13.2	14.7	-1.47
Trendon Watford	38	35	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	5	-2	15.0	15.8	-0.82	13.9	13.2	0.62
Ziaire Williams	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	15.8	14.4	1.43	12.7	16.3	-3.59
Shake Milton	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-3	14	15.5	15.4	0.07	14.8	11.7	3.11
Keon Johnson	62	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	10	-12	16.0	14.6	1.45	13.4	13.5	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	13	-18	15.4	15.7	-0.37	12.9	14.6	-1.73
Tyrese Martin	37	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	2	4	14.4	16.1	-1.66	15.6	12.3	3.30
Cameron Johnson	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	6	-4	15.3	15.5	-0.24	12.8	13.7	-0.94
Cam Thomas	47	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	13	-18	16.2	14.8	1.34	12.8	14.1	-1.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	24	24	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-15	22	15.3	12.9	2.42	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Buddy Hield	35	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	15.7	12.2	3.50	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Moses Moody	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	13.9	13.2	0.65	13.1	16.7	-3.58
Draymond Green	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-9	10	12.2	15.6	-3.35	15.7	15.1	0.68
Stephen Curry	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	12.5	15.3	-2.85	15.5	15.4	0.10
Trayce Jackson-Davis	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-6	4	12.9	13.8	-0.88	15.7	15.4	0.34
Lindy Waters III	57	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	12.8	14.4	-1.57	15.9	14.8	1.13
Kyle Anderson	29	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	5	-18	14.6	13.0	1.55	14.7	15.8	-1.06
Andrew Wiggins	68	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	12.9	14.6	-1.69	16.3	13.7	2.59
Gary Payton II	43	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-3	-2	13.8	13.2	0.64	16.4	14.8	1.61
Brandin Podziemski	42	44	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	2	-12	14.6	12.6	2.02	16.0	15.1	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.9%
SAC 101, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0	92.1%
MIL 78, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	92.0%