inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 94 Excitement6.3 [186] MVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): +17.9%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback33.2 [6] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -13.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.01-0.03961%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.060,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.02-0.001654%0.0600.00580%0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00462%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00555%0.041-0.0310%-0.01
Lindy Waters III-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.05-0.011246%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.03-0.01567%0.002-0.0320%-0.10
Brandin Podziemski-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Moses Moody-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01833%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Draymond Green-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0158%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Stephen Curry-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.060.021642%0.003-0.131100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.010.16-0.012154%0.264-0.08475%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.180.180.220.010.05892%0.1800.00875%-0.01
Stephon Castle0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.150.150.030.130.011556%0.202-0.04475%0.01
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00760%0.0500.001100%0.01
Blake Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02570%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Tre Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.01642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.001141%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01550%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.524.615.426.52.434.5129.9
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +48.2%
SAS +3.9%
GSW -13.8%
SAS +11.4%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game16.114.814.398.9114.3111.9
season13.914.4110.6111.0
opponent14.314.5112.8109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.817.116.615.016.1
SAS15.514.214.015.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton II27230.16-0.660.82-0.057-172413.717.1-3.3516.414.32.13
Buddy Hield49470.06-0.560.630.12-2-8614.418.0-3.5315.014.60.37
Trayce Jackson-Davis4645-0.05-0.450.410.16-7-3-417.215.21.9714.515.1-0.66
Kyle Anderson2625-0.13-0.370.240.10-8-2-617.215.81.4013.715.2-1.49
Moses Moody4642-0.15-0.350.200.23-133-1614.917.3-2.3714.515.0-0.52
Brandin Podziemski3331-0.24-0.260.030.17-144-1816.116.2-0.0713.115.7-2.54
Stephen Curry6160-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.384-141816.415.70.7215.713.12.54
Andrew Wiggins6363-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-111216.714.91.8114.615.3-0.70
Draymond Green5049-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.440-101016.915.31.5715.613.81.80
Kevon Looney2624-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-100-1015.116.5-1.4114.514.9-0.47
Lindy Waters III4846-0.590.09-0.68-0.35-8-2-617.614.72.8814.615.0-0.44

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephon Castle62660.56-0.060.620.1514-41814.814.8-0.0416.116.2-0.10
Julian Champagnie64670.55-0.050.610.3864214.914.60.3016.814.52.37
Victor Wembanyama64680.53-0.030.560.0616-62214.515.5-0.9716.714.72.05
Tre Jones45460.51-0.010.520.3364215.414.21.2314.617.6-2.96
Sandro Mamukelashvili34340.390.110.28-0.0214-41813.415.6-2.1715.716.4-0.67
Harrison Barnes60610.310.190.130.43-414-1815.313.71.6116.315.90.35
Blake Wesley25270.110.39-0.27-0.1282614.614.9-0.2817.015.81.21
Malaki Branham2727-0.020.52-0.54-0.1137-414.015.2-1.1914.916.6-1.80
Zach Collins2324-0.190.69-0.880.05-818-2615.714.51.2514.716.6-1.86
Chris Paul5155-0.260.76-1.02-0.11-515-2014.914.70.2316.815.21.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.52,0.89,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 99, TOR 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.46,0.68,0.93,0.94,0.95,192.1%
WAS 102, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.68,0.78,0.94,0.95,191.8%
CHA 87, BOS 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.53,0.76,0.84,0.76,0.95,191.6%