NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	6.8 [436]		MVP	Alec Burks (NYK): +19.3%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	22.7 [85]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): -41.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.07	-0.02	16	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Garrison Mathews	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	6	107%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Isaac Bonga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Deni Avdija	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	23	47%	0.01	6	-0.17	9	89%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.28	-0.17	-0.03	15	31%	-0.19	8	-0.23	12	58%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.12	0.02	18	57%	0.22	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.13	-0.03	22	44%	0.17	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	13	52%	0.14	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Obi Toppin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.00	16	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	30.7	15.3	31.1	0.8	34.3	140.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -1.5%

NYK +26.1%

NYK +13.5%

NYK +11.8%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	12.6	15.3	14.4	98.1	102.9	111.3
season	13.3	15.2		109.9	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.1		107.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	11.7	13.5	13.2	12.6
NYK	15.0	14.6	16.0	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-3	2	12.6	12.6	-0.02	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Raul Neto	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.14	-6	2	-8	12.9	12.4	0.45	16.8	14.6	2.20
Robin Lopez	56	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	2	-8	12.4	12.8	-0.40	15.3	15.2	0.07
Isaac Bonga	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	4	-12	14.7	12.2	2.47	17.9	14.8	3.13
Rui Hachimura	92	89	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.54	10	-14	24	12.1	16.2	-4.06	15.5	13.6	1.96
Alex Len	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-6	8	12.8	12.4	0.40	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Russell Westbrook	88	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-3	2	12.2	14.9	-2.72	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Bradley Beal	86	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-3	2	12.9	11.1	1.77	14.8	17.6	-2.78
Garrison Mathews	79	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	5	-14	12.7	12.0	0.71	14.6	17.4	-2.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	54	56	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-14	32	16.3	14.1	2.13	13.1	12.0	1.03
Immanuel Quickley	52	53	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-10	24	16.4	14.1	2.23	12.9	12.2	0.71
Alec Burks	70	72	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-13	30	15.6	14.5	1.05	12.5	12.7	-0.25
RJ Barrett	91	92	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	4	-4	15.2	16.1	-0.93	12.5	13.3	-0.86
Julius Randle	80	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	15.0	16.0	-0.95	12.3	13.6	-1.34
Obi Toppin	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	16.0	15.0	0.95	13.6	12.3	1.34
Kevin Knox II	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	0	4	16.1	15.2	0.93	13.3	12.5	0.86
Frank Ntilikina	35	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	14.5	15.6	-1.13	13.0	12.4	0.59
Elfrid Payton	49	48	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	19	-34	14.1	16.3	-2.13	12.0	13.1	-1.03
Mitchell Robinson	49	48	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.06	-14	18	-32	14.1	16.3	-2.13	12.0	13.1	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.68,0.78,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.69,0.96,0.95,1	91.7%
CHA 87, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.53,0.76,0.84,0.76,0.95,1	91.6%
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	90.9%