NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	4.5 [360]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +12.4%
LA Clippers	104		Comeback	1.2 [229]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -9.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan da Silva	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Gary Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Black	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.02	6	-0.11	9	56%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	14	60%	0.19	5	-0.07	12	92%	0.05
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.01	10	82%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.12	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	30.5	15.3	31.5	2.4	26.9	135.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +47.6%

LAC +1.9%

LAC +22.1%

ORL -19.4%

ORL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	16.4	14.3	94.9	109.5	112.0
season	15.1	15.0		108.5	108.8
opponent	14.0	14.5		108.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.9	13.2	15.2	12.6	13.4
LAC	13.7	17.0	16.9	18.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-15	19	13.8	13.3	0.49	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Cory Joseph	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.7	13.8	-5.10	21.0	16.1	4.87
Cole Anthony	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.7	13.8	-5.10	21.0	16.1	4.87
Caleb Houstan	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	8.7	13.8	-5.10	21.0	16.1	4.87
Jett Howard	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-15	19	10.9	14.2	-3.30	20.2	15.4	4.87
Goga Bitadze	42	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	14.0	13.1	0.88	15.1	17.4	-2.32
Anthony Black	61	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-10	9	13.4	13.5	-0.02	16.5	16.4	0.06
Jonathan Isaac	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	12.9	13.9	-1.08	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Tristan da Silva	53	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	13.9	12.9	1.08	17.0	15.8	1.22
Moritz Wagner	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	0	-11	13.7	13.3	0.37	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Jalen Suggs	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	14.4	12.4	1.93	14.8	18.4	-3.53
Franz Wagner	70	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	7	-25	14.1	11.9	2.23	16.5	16.2	0.27
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	7	-25	13.8	12.9	0.96	16.6	16.1	0.50

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-7	25	16.6	16.1	0.41	13.7	12.8	0.98
Kris Dunn	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	16.6	16.2	0.40	13.7	13.1	0.64
Derrick Jones Jr.	50	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	1	9	16.5	16.4	0.16	14.9	11.9	3.03
Ivica Zubac	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	16.4	16.6	-0.18	13.9	12.6	1.29
Amir Coffey	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	11	-11	16.4	16.5	-0.04	14.0	12.2	1.78
Kevin Porter Jr.	41	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	2	7	15.4	17.2	-1.85	13.2	13.7	-0.48
Mo Bamba	30	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	15.7	16.8	-1.13	13.4	13.5	-0.02
Jordan Miller	30	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	8	-5	17.9	15.8	2.08	12.2	14.1	-1.87
Nicolas Batum	41	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	7	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.34	12.4	14.2	-1.87
Kobe Brown	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	23.2	16.1	7.11	7.6	13.8	-6.16
Kai Jones	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	23.2	16.1	7.11	7.6	13.8	-6.16
Terance Mann	30	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	20	-29	15.9	16.7	-0.79	12.7	13.8	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 108, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 71, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%