NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	4.1 [1000]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +18.7%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.1 [917]		LVP	Royce O'Neale (PHX): -9.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.00	-0.03	24	60%	0.19	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	8	85%	0.17	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	10	71%	0.11	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	79%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.02	10	63%	0.09	4	-0.06	7	43%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	17	53%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	47%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	14	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Ryan Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	33.0	15.8	24.4	2.3	37.2	138.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.8%

ORL +4.6%

PHX -6.8%

ORL +7.1%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	14.4	123.9	112.5	113.0
season	15.4	15.0		108.3	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.3	18.0	18.8	18.2	17.5
PHX	16.7	14.7	14.8	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	53	52	0.47	-0.00	0.47	0.09	13	-3	16	17.9	16.3	1.67	14.7	17.1	-2.41
Franz Wagner	61	63	0.42	0.04	0.38	0.07	12	-2	14	17.2	17.7	-0.49	16.5	12.1	4.42
Goga Bitadze	54	57	0.38	0.09	0.29	0.11	9	1	8	17.1	17.9	-0.83	16.5	13.1	3.44
Tristan da Silva	47	47	0.33	0.13	0.20	0.13	7	3	4	17.2	17.6	-0.36	16.8	13.8	2.98
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	53	54	0.27	0.19	0.08	0.15	4	6	-2	16.7	18.6	-1.86	16.7	13.2	3.53
Jonathan Isaac	29	28	0.15	0.31	-0.16	-0.02	6	4	2	17.8	17.1	0.73	14.0	16.4	-2.37
Jalen Suggs	47	48	0.14	0.33	-0.19	0.17	-1	11	-12	16.9	18.0	-1.03	15.1	16.2	-1.08
Moritz Wagner	26	23	0.09	0.38	-0.29	0.06	1	9	-8	17.9	17.1	0.83	13.1	16.5	-3.44
Gary Harris	23	21	0.06	0.40	-0.34	0.03	1	9	-8	18.0	17.1	0.96	13.0	16.4	-3.38
Cole Anthony	7	7	0.02	0.45	-0.43	0.07	-2	12	-14	18.6	17.2	1.32	12.9	15.8	-2.94

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bol Bol	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-6	2	16.0	15.5	0.53	17.9	17.5	0.46
Ryan Dunn	40	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	16.2	14.3	1.96	16.3	18.5	-2.20
Monte Morris	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.1	16.1	-2.02	18.0	17.3	0.74
Mason Plumlee	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.8	15.2	0.60	16.5	18.6	-2.16
Tyus Jones	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-12	14	16.3	14.0	2.32	17.0	18.6	-1.57
Josh Okogie	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.0	16.0	-0.95	18.3	16.7	1.56
Oso Ighodaro	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	0	-10	16.3	14.2	2.11	17.7	17.2	0.53
Devin Booker	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-5	0	15.3	16.6	-1.32	17.3	18.3	-0.97
Grayson Allen	52	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-5	0	14.8	16.7	-1.96	18.5	15.7	2.87
Royce O'Neale	37	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	5	-20	14.2	16.6	-2.37	18.1	17.1	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 102, WAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 100, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	96.0%