NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	9.3 [147]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +54.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Comeback	21.1 [126]		LVP	Ryan Dunn (PHX): -8.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.04,0.36	0.12	0.21	-0.03	10	82%	0.44	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,-0.06	0.19	-0.24	0.01	29	66%	0.08	4	-0.14	9	89%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.41,0.55	0.55	0.16	0.38	-0.01	14	77%	0.58	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.08
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.54	0.54	0.19	0.37	0.03	20	71%	0.65	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	7	61%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	10	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	26.7	14.8	23.6	2.6	38.0	136.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.7%

MIN +20.7%

PHX -53.2%

MIN +23.4%

PHX -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	14.4	120.6	123.7	113.1
season	15.0	14.7		114.3	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.2		110.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	15.2	17.8	16.1	16.0
MIN	15.0	13.6	14.3	12.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monte Morris	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-5	7	16.5	15.8	0.65	15.0	13.4	1.69
Mason Plumlee	60	60	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-3	3	14.8	17.9	-3.11	14.4	12.5	1.91
Oso Ighodaro	54	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-11	19	16.2	15.7	0.53	12.7	15.0	-2.34
Jusuf Nurkic	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-4	5	15.9	16.0	-0.12	15.5	13.1	2.43
Josh Okogie	39	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-2	1	15.4	16.3	-0.93	11.9	14.7	-2.88
Tyus Jones	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	16.0	15.7	0.31	13.4	15.0	-1.69
Grayson Allen	45	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	1	-5	17.4	14.7	2.67	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Devin Booker	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.57	4	-7	11	16.2	14.9	1.26	13.9	12.9	1.02
Ryan Dunn	39	36	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	10	-23	15.0	16.6	-1.62	14.9	13.0	1.81
Royce O'Neale	48	49	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.56	-10	7	-17	16.4	15.5	0.89	13.4	14.0	-0.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	61	60	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.54	14	-11	25	14.0	13.2	0.79	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Julius Randle	67	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.26	16	-13	29	14.0	13.1	0.90	16.0	16.0	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	1	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	0.0	13.7	-13.72	0.0	16.1	-16.14
Donte DiVincenzo	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-7	17	13.5	14.0	-0.56	16.3	15.6	0.65
Anthony Edwards	78	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.51	-6	9	-15	13.7	13.6	0.11	16.0	15.7	0.29
Rudy Gobert	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	-1	5	13.7	13.9	-0.24	16.0	15.9	0.14
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	40	39	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	3	-3	13.3	14.0	-0.68	17.0	15.3	1.72
Jaden McDaniels	54	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	9	-15	13.6	13.9	-0.25	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Rob Dillingham	12	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	8	-13	12.8	13.8	-1.01	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Naz Reid	46	46	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.06	-15	18	-33	14.0	13.5	0.49	15.5	16.4	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.08,0.07,0.16,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,1	92.3%
PHX 106, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.73,1	91.6%
TOR 109, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,1	90.7%