NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	124		Excitement	8.8 [184]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +71.9%
New York Knicks	123		Comeback	8.5 [127]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -7.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.72	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.72	0.03	0.70	0.00	16	55%	0.82	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.26
Ayo Dosunmu	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36	0.11	0.25	0.01	8	80%	0.37	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.11
Julian Phillips	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	14	66%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00
Patrick Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.05	0.05	9	82%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,-0.08	0.12	-0.15	0.05	17	77%	0.28	6	-0.35	6	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.23	0.24	0.04	30	68%	0.53	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.08
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	4	137%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.15	0.00	20	53%	0.22	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	15	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.08	0.03	14	47%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.6	15.4	29.5	1.7	33.3	136.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -31.2%

CHI +102.6%

CHI +2.7%

NYK -30.3%

CHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	14.4	119.2	118.3	113.1
season	13.2	15.2		112.4	117.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.9	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.5	12.9	13.1	14.0	13.4
NYK	15.3	16.5	12.6	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	62	60	1.35	-0.85	2.20	0.79	19	-18	37	13.6	13.1	0.42	14.6	13.9	0.67
Zach LaVine	78	78	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.43	21	-20	41	12.7	15.5	-2.76	15.0	12.1	2.96
Nikola Vucevic	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-13	27	13.2	13.7	-0.51	15.0	12.7	2.22
Julian Phillips	22	22	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-7	15	12.3	13.7	-1.36	16.1	13.8	2.33
Patrick Williams	70	73	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	0	1	13.3	13.6	-0.38	14.9	12.9	2.03
Coby White	77	79	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	9	-17	13.8	12.3	1.43	14.1	15.1	-1.03
Matas Buzelis	29	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	11	-21	13.6	13.3	0.27	12.4	15.0	-2.60
Jalen Smith	32	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.22	-13	14	-27	13.7	13.2	0.51	12.7	15.0	-2.22
Ayo Dosunmu	55	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	5	-9	13.2	13.6	-0.41	14.1	14.5	-0.31
Dalen Terry	23	23	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	0.09	-23	24	-47	15.7	12.8	2.90	10.8	15.3	-4.46

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	51	51	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-11	21	13.3	15.3	-2.01	14.1	12.7	1.38
Cameron Payne	37	36	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-12	23	13.2	14.9	-1.76	14.8	12.6	2.20
Josh Hart	75	73	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-10	19	13.8	15.6	-1.79	13.5	13.2	0.24
Matt Ryan	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	14.0	14.3	-0.33	13.8	13.3	0.47
Jericho Sims	19	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	4	-9	15.4	14.1	1.31	12.4	13.7	-1.25
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	14.1	15.4	-1.31	13.7	12.4	1.25
Mikal Bridges	93	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.3	14.0	0.33	13.3	13.8	-0.47
Jalen Brunson	73	75	-0.81	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	12	-25	15.1	12.5	2.63	12.8	14.9	-2.13
OG Anunoby	76	77	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.41	-20	19	-39	15.3	11.6	3.63	12.8	15.2	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.46,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.42,0	91.3%
POR 100, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.22,0.24,0.43,0	91.0%
ORL 108, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.42,0	90.6%