NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	7.9 [351]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +51.2%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	48.5 [26]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -25.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,0.51	-0.05	0.51	-0.05	16	56%	0.63	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Bol Bol	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Admiral Schofield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	16	62%	0.13	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.13,-0.05	0.10	-0.14	0.01	9	74%	0.20	3	-0.25	9	89%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.22	0.01	4	100%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.13	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.2,0.34,0.07	0.07	0.18	-0.09	0.02	30	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	81%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	13	44%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.09
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	14	13%	-0.20	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	28.5	14.7	29.2	2.3	33.3	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +84.7%

ORL +8.3%

CHI -18.8%

CHI -28.5%

ORL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	14.4	111.3	109.2	113.4
season	14.3	14.1		111.0	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	15.5	15.8	17.0	15.6
CHI	13.3	13.9	14.2	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	48	49	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.73	1	0	1	15.3	16.0	-0.71	13.9	13.9	0.08
Wendell Carter Jr.	69	69	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.28	13	-12	25	15.7	15.6	0.11	14.5	12.4	2.11
Bol Bol	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	15.7	15.5	0.17	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Terrence Ross	46	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-7	15	15.4	15.9	-0.49	13.8	14.0	-0.13
Franz Wagner	66	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	-10	21	15.3	16.3	-0.94	14.5	12.6	1.88
Chuma Okeke	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.50	-12	13	-25	16.0	15.1	0.89	14.0	13.7	0.25
Jalen Suggs	71	72	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.36	-10	11	-21	15.9	15.0	0.83	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Admiral Schofield	16	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	5	-9	15.8	15.6	0.20	9.6	14.7	-5.18
Mo Bamba	48	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	4	-7	15.7	15.6	0.16	13.7	14.1	-0.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.46	17	-18	35	13.8	14.0	-0.15	17.1	14.9	2.20
Goran Dragic	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-5	9	14.4	13.7	0.70	16.0	15.5	0.49
Coby White	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-1	1	10.2	14.3	-4.05	19.1	15.3	3.79
Patrick Williams	65	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-5	9	13.9	13.8	0.12	15.7	15.4	0.31
Nikola Vucevic	68	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-10	19	13.2	15.4	-2.12	16.1	14.7	1.33
Derrick Jones Jr.	11	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	13.7	13.9	-0.19	14.1	15.8	-1.73
DeMar DeRozan	88	88	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.60	13	-14	27	13.6	16.2	-2.56	16.1	11.6	4.51
Andre Drummond	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	9	-19	15.4	13.2	2.12	14.7	16.1	-1.33
Ayo Dosunmu	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	4	-9	12.7	15.2	-2.53	15.6	15.7	-0.18
Alex Caruso	48	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	7	-15	14.2	13.6	0.69	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Zach LaVine	51	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	18	-37	15.6	12.0	3.61	14.6	16.8	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.27,0	91.7%
GSW 104, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	91.3%
SAC 84, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	91.2%