inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 90 Excitement7.0 [93] MVPPascal Siakam (IND): +21.9%
Orlando Magic 94 Comeback3.3 [71] LVPJalen Suggs (ORL): -22.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.220,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.190.040.011193%0.343-0.135100%0.03
Jarace Walker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.00540%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ben Sheppard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00642%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Furphy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.02-0.00654%0.031-0.041100%0.00
Enrique Freeman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Obi Toppin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.03425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Myles Turner-0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.001146%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
T.J. McConnell-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.01922%-0.092-0.0400%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14-0.00-0.080.051753%-0.034-0.11989%0.02
Tyrese Haliburton-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.021431%-0.084-0.081100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.09-0.00580%0.1600.0000%0.00
Franz Wagner0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.060.060.050.00-0.012451%0.071-0.00989%0.05
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.01786%0.143-0.0800%0.00
Jett Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.003100%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.07-0.01771%0.185-0.1300%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02862%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.05-0.00643%0.042-0.042100%0.02
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01621%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Jalen Suggs0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22-0.22-0.19-0.06-0.031525%-0.114-0.112100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.528.514.631.52.429.3131.1
league avg25.82.328.014.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +34.3%
ORL +0.8%
ORL +2.8%
ORL +8.4%
ORL +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game13.715.714.490.996.9112.0
season13.615.1111.4109.1
opponent14.214.9104.9116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND12.015.615.112.513.7
ORL15.713.717.615.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Enrique Freeman550.09-0.590.67-0.034-81213.013.8-0.7714.015.8-1.77
T.J. McConnell3232-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-5613.813.70.1314.116.4-2.32
Tyrese Haliburton7979-0.17-0.330.16-0.325-91413.713.8-0.1516.113.72.40
Obi Toppin4240-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-1-213.813.70.1013.617.1-3.54
Jarace Walker5049-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-4413.513.9-0.3814.417.0-2.53
Johnny Furphy2020-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-84-1214.113.60.4712.916.4-3.44
Myles Turner6867-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-3-1-213.214.8-1.5716.613.63.06
Bennedict Mathurin7169-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.29-40-413.414.5-1.1316.413.82.61
Pascal Siakam7676-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.410-4413.713.8-0.1316.413.03.42
Ben Sheppard5248-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-128-2014.912.42.4816.714.72.08

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Suggs77770.65-0.150.800.428-41215.914.81.1113.713.9-0.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope70710.490.010.490.2010-61615.915.00.8913.314.8-1.48
Jonathan Isaac47470.370.130.230.3704-414.516.8-2.2313.713.8-0.09
Anthony Black51530.340.160.170.45-48-1215.216.2-0.9812.715.0-2.30
Moritz Wagner37380.200.30-0.090.1713-214.016.7-2.7613.913.60.27
Goga Bitadze54540.170.33-0.150.0931217.313.73.5613.713.70.03
Tristan da Silva40420.170.33-0.17-0.109-51415.615.7-0.1415.312.62.75
Franz Wagner74760.120.38-0.250.1204-416.413.52.8913.115.8-2.68
Jett Howard27280.010.49-0.490.18-610-1615.015.9-0.8914.813.31.48
Cole Anthony89-0.020.52-0.550.01-15-614.515.8-1.2917.713.34.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 96, POR 1070.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,192.2%
DAL 108, PHX 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,191.7%
CLE 71, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,191.7%