NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	128		Excitement	6.8 [490]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +45.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	134		Comeback	1.4 [954]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -13.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.10	0.05	15	82%	0.31	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	12	73%	0.19	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	13	74%	0.14	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Amir Coffey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Terance Mann	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	15	49%	-0.01	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.46	0.46	0.33	0.17	0.04	21	78%	0.47	1	-0.02	16	94%	0.08
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.13	0.01	16	78%	0.33	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.01	14	66%	0.20	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	12	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.2	14.4	32.7	1.8	37.2	145.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +13.6%

OKC +15.4%

LAC -15.1%

OKC +34.4%

OKC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	14.4	121.9	132.7	113.1
season	14.9	13.7		113.8	117.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		105.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	13.3	13.7	14.2	14.3
OKC	12.6	11.9	14.0	16.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-7	8	14.8	14.2	0.61	12.3	14.1	-1.80
Kris Dunn	59	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-10	14	14.4	14.3	0.07	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Kevin Porter Jr.	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.9	13.7	2.21	12.5	14.1	-1.55
Terance Mann	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	15.2	13.8	1.43	13.0	14.0	-0.94
Norman Powell	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-9	12	14.5	13.9	0.64	14.2	11.8	2.35
Derrick Jones Jr.	74	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.0	15.0	-0.96	13.8	13.2	0.59
Amir Coffey	61	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	1	-8	13.4	15.6	-2.14	13.9	13.3	0.64
Ivica Zubac	77	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	3	-12	14.1	15.0	-0.92	13.7	13.6	0.10
James Harden	81	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	14.1	14.9	-0.77	13.9	12.6	1.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	62	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-11	28	13.2	14.3	-1.03	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Luguentz Dort	73	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	0	6	14.0	12.6	1.36	13.7	16.0	-2.26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	81	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	13.8	13.0	0.72	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Isaiah Joe	65	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	13.8	13.3	0.49	14.3	14.4	-0.06
Jalen Williams	78	79	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	1	4	13.3	14.7	-1.33	14.5	13.8	0.69
Kenrich Williams	13	14	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-5	16	11.8	13.9	-2.04	12.6	14.6	-2.02
Ajay Mitchell	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	4	-2	11.8	14.1	-2.37	16.3	13.8	2.47
Ousmane Dieng	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	13.0	13.8	-0.72	15.1	14.2	0.95
Cason Wallace	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.4	0.47	14.0	14.5	-0.57
Dillon Jones	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	11	-16	16.8	13.2	3.58	15.6	14.2	1.41
Alex Caruso	39	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	18	-30	14.3	13.2	1.11	15.4	13.6	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.3%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%
DAL 81, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.9%