NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	9.3 [50]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +36.7%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	1.5 [159]		LVP	Chris Paul (SAS): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	13	70%	0.43	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.17	0.00	0.16	-0.01	15	46%	0.21	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Johnny Juzang	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	-0.00	4	91%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.10
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	9	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.12	0.08	0.03	16	62%	0.23	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.01	10	54%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	75%	0.24	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0,0	-0.00	0.10	-0.05	0.05	13	75%	0.14	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	20%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	30.1	14.5	30.5	3.3	36.5	141.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -2.1%

UTA +8.5%

UTA +28.1%

UTA +18.0%

SAS -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	14.3	105.7	103.8	111.9
season	15.0	14.4		109.6	111.0
opponent	14.3	13.6		112.8	119.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.0	13.1	13.7	14.5	13.6
SAS	14.2	14.6	12.9	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	64	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-9	19	12.9	14.6	-1.70	14.3	13.0	1.32
Kyle Filipowski	53	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-6	13	13.2	14.0	-0.77	14.0	13.4	0.56
Collin Sexton	64	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	13.8	13.1	0.70	12.9	15.2	-2.34
Lauri Markkanen	82	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.57	-4	5	-9	13.1	15.1	-1.94	13.3	15.4	-2.12
Johnny Juzang	42	43	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-10	21	14.1	13.2	0.83	16.3	12.0	4.37
Jordan Clarkson	55	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.51	-11	12	-23	13.8	13.4	0.40	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Isaiah Collier	56	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	0	1	13.0	14.2	-1.19	14.2	13.2	1.03
Patty Mills	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-3	7	14.5	13.2	1.31	14.6	13.4	1.23
Cody Williams	37	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	5	-9	13.9	13.4	0.58	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Walker Kessler	43	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	12	-23	14.5	13.0	1.51	12.3	14.7	-2.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	57	55	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.12	13	-14	27	13.2	14.3	-1.12	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Sandro Mamukelashvili	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	15.4	13.4	1.94	11.1	14.0	-2.93
Zach Collins	29	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	4	-9	15.0	13.2	1.80	15.1	12.9	2.12
Harrison Barnes	61	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-4	7	13.8	13.7	0.07	14.1	13.0	1.11
Blake Wesley	38	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	15.2	12.9	2.27	13.7	13.5	0.22
Chris Paul	66	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.64	17	-18	35	12.6	15.6	-2.97	13.0	14.5	-1.54
Stephon Castle	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	2	-5	13.5	14.3	-0.85	14.3	11.7	2.60
Victor Wembanyama	77	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.62	4	-5	9	13.2	15.0	-1.80	12.9	15.1	-2.12
Devin Vassell	46	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	12	-25	13.9	13.6	0.29	13.9	13.3	0.57
Keldon Johnson	64	65	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.39	-18	17	-35	14.2	13.0	1.20	13.5	13.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.09,0.18,0	92.4%
ATL 78, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.1,0	92.3%
PHX 112, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.16,0	91.4%