NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	8.7 [196]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +30.9%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.5 [499]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHX): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.01	12	71%	0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	23	62%	0.34	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	15	62%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.06	0.05	4	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.19	-0.01	12	85%	0.43	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.01	6	82%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.08
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	17	59%	0.15	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.05
Justin James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	0.03	-0.18	0.01	15	52%	-0.09	1	-0.07	10	70%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	26.6	15.4	26.3	2.4	34.5	133.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.3%

SAC -2.3%

PHX +8.6%

SAC -1.9%

PHX +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.2	114.3	111.1	109.6
season	14.1	14.3		110.9	109.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		110.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	15.0	15.1	16.8	15.0
SAC	13.9	14.4	14.9	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	61	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-5	12	15.9	13.6	2.25	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Devin Booker	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	14.7	17.2	-2.56	14.3	13.5	0.81
Ricky Rubio	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	1	0	15.3	14.3	1.03	13.7	15.5	-1.88
Kelly Oubre Jr.	83	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	1	0	15.1	14.7	0.34	14.4	12.9	1.59
Mikal Bridges	50	49	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	15.6	14.4	1.26	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Elie Okobo	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	-4	10	14.5	15.2	-0.65	14.9	14.0	0.86
Cameron Johnson	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	3	-4	15.9	14.6	1.29	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Jevon Carter	9	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	2	-2	13.9	15.1	-1.25	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Dario Saric	44	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	6	-10	14.3	15.6	-1.23	15.2	13.4	1.77
Frank Kaminsky	14	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	6	-10	12.9	15.4	-2.44	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Cheick Diallo	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.28	14.9	14.0	0.86

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	62	60	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-11	20	14.6	13.5	1.13	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Wenyen Gabriel	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	0	-2	11.2	14.4	-3.25	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Justin James	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	14.2	14.2	-0.00	16.0	14.8	1.22
Yogi Ferrell	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.2	-0.05	15.6	14.6	0.99
Cory Joseph	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	1	-4	14.2	14.3	-0.17	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Buddy Hield	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	1	-4	14.4	13.6	0.81	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Harrison Barnes	82	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.4	13.5	0.84	14.4	17.8	-3.38
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	13.6	15.5	-1.90	15.7	13.8	1.92
Richaun Holmes	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	4	-10	14.4	13.7	0.72	15.3	14.2	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.4%
TOR 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.25,0	93.2%
PHX 105, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.04,0,0	93.1%