NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	11.1 [29]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +26.2%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	4.0 [632]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -16.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.26	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	13	62%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.12
Nic Claxton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	3	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	23%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cam Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04	0.11	-0.16	-0.01	22	61%	-0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.07
Ben Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.14,0.04,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	23	43%	0.10	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	6	42%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.18	-0.04	12	54%	0.25	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	11	74%	0.26	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	14	59%	0.18	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	11	54%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.01	11	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.14	0.00	25	58%	0.23	3	-0.29	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	27.2	14.6	25.2	1.8	30.0	2.4	15.2	144.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +97.8%

BKN -15.7%

BKN -24.1%

BKN -10.2%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	14.4	102.0	105.9	113.1
season	15.3	15.3		107.6	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	15.6	17.6	15.6	19.5	14.4	16.7
BOS	14.4	13.7	13.3	14.8	19.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	47	47	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.17	-1	-3	2	16.6	16.9	-0.24	14.9	14.1	0.82
Ziaire Williams	46	45	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.26	-5	1	-6	16.9	16.6	0.31	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Ben Simmons	54	52	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.32	-8	4	-12	17.1	16.3	0.78	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Keon Johnson	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-2	0	17.1	16.6	0.50	14.6	14.4	0.19
Dennis Schroder	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-2	0	16.6	17.1	-0.50	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Cameron Johnson	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.59	1	-5	6	16.7	16.9	-0.25	14.8	13.4	1.35
Dorian Finney-Smith	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.59	0	-4	4	16.8	16.7	0.12	14.5	14.3	0.26
Nic Claxton	53	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.65	1	-5	6	16.5	17.0	-0.49	14.5	14.3	0.22
Cam Thomas	74	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.56	-4	0	-4	16.6	17.0	-0.35	14.3	14.9	-0.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	82	83	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-6	16	13.8	17.0	-3.20	16.5	17.9	-1.48
Jrue Holiday	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	1	2	14.5	14.3	0.22	17.1	15.9	1.27
Derrick White	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	7	-10	14.6	13.7	0.92	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Payton Pritchard	64	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-7	18	14.5	14.4	0.06	16.7	16.8	-0.05
Sam Hauser	67	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.03	15	-11	26	13.6	16.1	-2.52	17.2	15.8	1.42
Al Horford	61	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.0	-1.03	16.8	16.6	0.20
Neemias Queta	52	51	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	-3	10	14.9	13.9	1.04	17.1	16.4	0.71
Xavier Tillman	12	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.19	-14	18	-32	16.8	14.1	2.72	14.0	17.1	-3.08
Jordan Walsh	19	20	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	11	-18	17.5	13.7	3.80	16.8	16.7	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.77,1	90.3%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,1	90.0%
POR 113, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.78,0.98,1	89.8%