NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	4.9 [202]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +19.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	131		Comeback	1.0 [198]		LVP	Gabe Vincent (LAL): -7.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.04	0.02	24	75%	0.28	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	7	83%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	17	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Max Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.06	8	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	13	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.02	0.07	10	91%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	79%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	17	51%	0.12	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Colin Castleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	28.1	14.6	24.1	2.5	30.2	131.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +48.9%

MEM +5.5%

MEM +23.7%

LAL -21.3%

LAL -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.4	110.7	127.2	112.0
season	14.7	13.3		113.2	116.9
opponent	14.4	14.4		107.9	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.8	16.2	11.2	14.2
MEM	11.2	14.0	14.3	15.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bronny James	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	11.5	14.4	-2.88	19.0	13.3	5.69
Max Christie	39	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-14	11	12.9	14.9	-1.98	15.9	12.5	3.42
Cam Reddish	53	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-16	15	14.1	14.2	-0.16	15.4	12.2	3.18
Christian Koloko	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-13	9	14.3	14.1	0.16	16.6	12.9	3.71
D'Angelo Russell	50	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-7	-3	15.1	13.2	1.91	11.8	15.5	-3.69
Dalton Knecht	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-2	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.18	12.9	15.1	-2.26
Jaxson Hayes	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.16	12.9	16.6	-3.71
Austin Reaves	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-8	-1	14.3	13.7	0.67	13.1	15.9	-2.78
Gabe Vincent	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-3	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.08	15.5	12.4	3.06
LeBron James	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	2	-21	14.4	13.4	0.94	12.7	17.4	-4.65

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	-5	27	13.0	15.5	-2.56	15.1	12.1	2.99
Jaylen Wells	62	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	10	-3	13.0	15.0	-2.06	14.7	13.4	1.31
Ja Morant	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	9	-1	12.7	15.0	-2.28	14.8	13.5	1.32
Santi Aldama	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	6	5	13.7	14.1	-0.37	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Jake LaRavia	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	15	-13	14.8	12.5	2.32	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Brandon Clarke	39	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.19	16	1	15	13.8	13.8	-0.02	14.7	13.8	0.98
Scotty Pippen Jr.	52	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	8	1	15.6	12.0	3.54	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Luke Kennard	38	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	8	1	14.3	13.5	0.77	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Jay Huff	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	18	-19	15.4	13.2	2.20	12.6	14.8	-2.19
Zach Edey	33	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	13	-9	12.1	14.6	-2.52	15.1	13.7	1.32
Yuki Kawamura	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	16.0	13.7	2.28	8.0	14.4	-6.40
Colin Castleton	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	16.0	13.7	2.28	8.0	14.4	-6.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 92, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%