inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 86 Excitement3.3 [1133] MVPJalen Williams (OKC): +11.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Comeback1.0 [1273] LVPAnthony Black (ORL): -11.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02350%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Moritz Wagner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.06556%0.024-0.02683%0.01
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Anthony0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jett Howard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Goga Bitadze-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05861%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Jalen Suggs-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.081359%0.002-0.026100%0.00
Caleb Houstan-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011237%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01735%-0.031-0.023100%0.01
Franz Wagner-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.000.051755%0.025-0.10683%0.01
Anthony Black-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.15-0.01-0.04817%-0.083-0.04250%-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.000.021768%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.011056%0.072-0.03560%-0.01
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01955%0.0300.002100%0.01
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.100.000.08868%0.0200.00367%-0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.011658%0.084-0.074100%0.01
Dillon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04337%0.021-0.01250%0.00
Malevy Leons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.03350%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01650%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.025.214.532.71.833.2134.7
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +51.0%
ORL -4.4%
OKC +2.1%
OKC +1.1%
OKC +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLOKCNBAORLOKCNBA
this game15.713.014.486.0101.0113.0
season15.413.8108.3117.4
opponent14.714.4105.6109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.716.515.514.815.7
OKC12.612.311.615.813.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph010.00-0.500.500.000-17170.015.9-15.8718.013.04.98
Jett Howard1818-0.08-0.420.330.21-10-7-314.216.3-2.0413.213.10.11
Caleb Houstan1313-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-11516.515.80.7811.213.4-2.23
Jonathan Isaac2524-0.24-0.260.030.38-214-2515.616.0-0.3711.713.5-1.78
Goga Bitadze5251-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-171717.014.42.6014.012.02.02
Moritz Wagner4143-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-170-1714.417.0-2.6012.014.0-2.02
Tristan da Silva6869-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.384-212516.015.60.3713.512.01.46
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6364-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-161515.616.5-0.9313.711.71.97
Franz Wagner6970-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-181915.915.9-0.0113.910.63.29
Anthony Black4545-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-181-1916.115.70.3811.814.2-2.36
Jalen Suggs7172-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-170-1716.314.51.8612.814.0-1.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander73730.420.080.34-0.1118-11913.113.00.0315.318.3-3.06
Chet Holmgren45450.380.120.26-0.061521311.914.1-2.2316.315.60.72
Jalen Williams71720.310.190.110.34-118-1913.412.01.4815.916.1-0.17
Alex Caruso43430.260.240.02-0.03107312.513.5-1.0415.716.2-0.48
Aaron Wiggins38380.260.240.020.0289-112.813.3-0.5215.216.5-1.25
Luguentz Dort57570.250.250.010.25017-1713.911.91.9915.416.8-1.32
Isaiah Joe42400.250.25-0.01-0.251701713.512.70.8116.215.80.47
Cason Wallace54550.200.30-0.09-0.00710-313.212.90.2216.415.31.07
Dillon Jones15150.100.40-0.30-0.28134912.913.1-0.1715.916.0-0.03
Ajay Mitchell20200.080.42-0.340.11-118-1912.813.1-0.3518.015.42.66
Malevy Leons760.000.50-0.500.03-117-1812.313.1-0.7910.816.0-5.12
Ousmane Dieng1212-0.010.51-0.510.02-118-1913.213.10.1118.315.62.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, PHX 1210.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
DET 104, PHI 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAC 96, CLE 1120.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%