NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	104		Excitement	3.2 [1011]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +20.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	118		Comeback	1.0 [1136]		LVP	Shake Milton (PHI): -5.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Deividas Sirvydis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	6	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.01	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	0.00	0.07	8	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.01	0.05	13	91%	0.22	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	73%	0.14	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	11	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	16	49%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayjon Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	27.0	14.8	27.2	2.4	25.4	123.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.4%

PHI +13.1%

PHI +7.5%

PHI +13.3%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.4	105.1	118.0	111.3
season	15.0	14.5		107.0	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.2		106.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	15.7	11.5	15.4	14.1
PHI	12.7	16.3	17.3	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahlil Okafor	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-19	24	12.0	14.2	-2.25	15.7	14.8	0.93
Tyler Cook	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-24	34	9.7	14.2	-4.56	18.0	14.7	3.28
Saben Lee	19	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-16	18	15.8	13.7	2.10	15.1	14.8	0.37
Frank Jackson	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-17	20	16.1	12.8	3.36	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Sekou Doumbouya	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-10	6	16.0	12.6	3.35	14.5	15.1	-0.67
Killian Hayes	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	13.9	14.2	-0.29	15.2	14.5	0.71
Isaiah Stewart	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-7	0	14.2	14.0	0.26	14.7	14.9	-0.23
Cory Joseph	44	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	13.3	14.7	-1.47	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Mason Plumlee	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	14.3	13.9	0.34	14.8	14.9	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	75	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.16	25	-11	36	13.9	17.6	-3.61	14.7	12.4	2.31
Danny Green	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	-12	38	13.6	17.3	-3.70	15.2	11.9	3.32
Tobias Harris	64	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.13	20	-6	26	14.0	16.4	-2.36	14.8	12.9	1.96
Joel Embiid	49	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-5	24	13.8	15.9	-2.11	15.2	13.1	2.06
Matisse Thybulle	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	4	6	14.7	14.9	-0.20	13.7	14.4	-0.70
George Hill	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	17	-20	15.0	14.7	0.30	13.8	14.4	-0.67
Dwight Howard	45	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	11	-8	15.7	14.2	1.48	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Shake Milton	50	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	12	-10	16.9	12.8	4.14	13.1	15.2	-2.06
Mike Scott	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	20	-26	16.4	14.0	2.36	12.9	14.8	-1.96
Isaiah Joe	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	22	-30	17.1	14.5	2.67	12.3	14.3	-2.00
Rayjon Tucker	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	24	-34	18.0	14.7	3.28	9.7	14.2	-4.56
Paul Reed	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	17.5	14.7	2.82	9.6	14.3	-4.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 80, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 90, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
IND 91, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%