NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	7.7 [91]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +32.4%
Brooklyn Nets	120		Comeback	2.4 [133]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -26.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.32	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.30	0.08	0.05	11	104%	0.32	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Coby White	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	13	68%	0.19	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	11	42%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Josh Giddey	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.10	-0.03	17	29%	-0.18	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.10	0.02	23	60%	0.30	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	12	37%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	23.6	15.2	29.6	2.3	30.3	127.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +48.7%

CHI -2.5%

CHI -4.8%

BKN +10.8%

CHI -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.5	14.4	106.7	118.8	112.0
season	13.2	15.3		112.8	112.5
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.5	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	14.2	12.1	13.7	13.5
BKN	13.1	15.8	13.6	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	78	73	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-12	16	12.6	16.1	-3.55	14.6	14.3	0.25
Julian Phillips	32	27	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-10	12	12.6	13.8	-1.22	15.5	14.1	1.33
Jalen Smith	31	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-7	6	12.8	13.7	-0.90	15.9	14.0	1.91
Dalen Terry	29	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-8	8	13.8	13.3	0.49	16.8	13.8	3.00
Adama Sanogo	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	10.0	13.5	-3.51	0.0	14.5	-14.50
Talen Horton-Tucker	16	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-7	6	13.0	13.6	-0.56	14.9	14.4	0.49
Patrick Williams	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	3	-14	14.1	12.7	1.41	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Ayo Dosunmu	60	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-4	0	13.2	13.8	-0.57	15.0	13.9	1.09
Nikola Vucevic	73	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	13.8	12.7	1.04	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Zach LaVine	73	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	13.8	12.7	1.04	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Josh Giddey	71	72	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	7	-22	14.2	12.0	2.23	14.0	15.8	-1.86

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nic Claxton	46	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	16.9	12.5	4.34	12.6	14.3	-1.61
Dennis Schroder	69	75	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	14.8	13.9	0.88	12.7	15.4	-2.65
Cam Thomas	71	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	14.0	15.6	-1.61	13.2	14.0	-0.74
Cameron Johnson	71	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	14.0	15.6	-1.61	13.2	14.0	-0.74
Dorian Finney-Smith	59	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	9	-10	13.5	16.0	-2.52	13.8	13.0	0.89
Ziaire Williams	37	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	0	8	16.1	13.6	2.53	13.6	13.4	0.18
Jalen Wilson	45	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	0	8	14.5	14.5	0.05	13.9	13.1	0.73
Noah Clowney	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	15.4	14.1	1.32	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Keon Johnson	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	4	0	15.3	14.3	0.95	16.7	12.9	3.85
Ben Simmons	58	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	3	2	12.8	16.9	-4.10	14.8	12.0	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.63,0.79,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.76,0.9,1	93.2%
PHX 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.95,1	92.0%
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	91.5%