NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	5.5 [711]		MVP	Chris Paul (SAS): +10.3%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	3.5 [304]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -16.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.02	0.04	13	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	20	58%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	48%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Harrison Barnes	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	5	91%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Julian Champagnie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Sochan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Blake Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	13	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	14	45%	0.07	7	-0.22	5	80%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	28.8	14.8	28.4	2.3	27.6	128.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.4%

SAS +4.2%

UTA -10.4%

SAS +40.2%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.4	105.0	87.1	113.0
season	14.2	14.8		113.0	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.0	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.1	14.5	9.4	16.3	13.3
UTA	14.7	15.5	16.0	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Wembanyama	69	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	-0.30	43	-25	68	12.6	14.9	-2.33	16.4	12.4	4.01
Chris Paul	67	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.36	37	-19	56	13.2	13.6	-0.41	15.9	13.7	2.16
Julian Champagnie	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.26	27	-9	36	12.3	14.6	-2.34	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Harrison Barnes	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	5	8	13.3	13.4	-0.12	15.5	14.9	0.57
Keldon Johnson	58	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	12	-6	13.2	13.5	-0.25	15.9	14.3	1.63
Jeremy Sochan	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	14	-10	13.7	12.7	1.06	15.9	14.0	1.92
Stephon Castle	41	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	15	-12	13.7	13.1	0.65	15.2	15.1	0.10
Sandro Mamukelashvili	23	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	15	-12	15.3	12.8	2.59	12.0	16.2	-4.21
Sidy Cissoko	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.0	13.3	-0.35	10.0	15.2	-5.22
Charles Bassey	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.0	13.3	-0.35	10.0	15.2	-5.22
Malaki Branham	38	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.32	-13	31	-44	13.1	13.5	-0.34	13.6	16.0	-2.46
Blake Wesley	11	12	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	32	-46	15.7	13.1	2.67	12.6	15.5	-2.93
Zach Collins	24	24	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.16	-21	39	-60	14.3	13.0	1.29	13.3	15.8	-2.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	33	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.18	8	-26	34	14.2	15.6	-1.47	12.2	13.9	-1.68
Patty Mills	37	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.0	15.8	-1.80	12.6	13.8	-1.19
Collin Sexton	52	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-17	16	14.0	16.4	-2.41	15.0	11.6	3.33
Drew Eubanks	48	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-14	10	13.9	16.3	-2.35	12.3	14.2	-1.83
Johnny Juzang	28	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.24	-15	-3	-12	16.0	14.9	1.10	12.8	13.5	-0.67
John Collins	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-12	6	15.5	14.7	0.82	13.9	12.7	1.21
Kyle Filipowski	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-6	-6	14.7	15.5	-0.82	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Keyonte George	60	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-8	-2	15.9	14.1	1.76	14.1	12.2	1.90
Walker Kessler	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-4	-10	16.3	13.9	2.35	14.2	12.3	1.83
Cody Williams	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-5	-8	15.7	14.7	1.03	13.3	13.4	-0.05
Jordan Clarkson	45	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.05	-21	3	-24	16.2	14.4	1.78	12.2	14.2	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DAL 104, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
ORL 92, DET 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%