inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement4.3 [81] MVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): +16.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback1.4 [101] LVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): -8.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.01-0.011269%0.141-0.022100%0.01
Malaki Branham0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.021168%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Chris Paul0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.03974%0.083-0.051100%0.00
Sidy Cissoko0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Sochan-0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.021647%-0.011-0.02475%0.01
Keldon Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.031141%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Zach Collins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01350%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Julian Champagnie-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.02530%-0.023-0.0400%0.00
Blake Wesley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00542%-0.032-0.04250%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.02350%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Victor Wembanyama-0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01543%-0.004-0.084100%0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.230.000.079111%0.1600.0000%0.00
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.020.02686%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001086%0.165-0.082100%0.01
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.003100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alex Ducas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Flagler00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.03-0.00-0.031343%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.012043%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.0450%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.73.525.613.825.53.325.3120.8
league avg25.82.328.014.928.42.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +32.1%
SAS -1.7%
SAS -2.4%
OKC +19.0%
OKC +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.213.414.392.1105.0111.8
season14.513.6107.1110.0
opponent14.414.993.6108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.415.313.715.515.2
OKC11.711.815.614.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sandro Mamukelashvili16150.01-0.510.52-0.176-182413.215.6-2.3715.313.12.27
Sidy Cissoko550.00-0.500.50-0.124-162016.415.21.2113.213.4-0.21
Blake Wesley2323-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-151816.614.81.7615.412.82.64
Victor Wembanyama6159-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-8415.015.6-0.5812.714.4-1.72
Malaki Branham4139-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-3-615.914.81.0213.713.20.56
Stephon Castle3938-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-8415.615.00.6015.412.23.17
Keldon Johnson5959-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.12-5-7215.315.10.1814.112.31.79
Jeremy Sochan6768-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-5-214.915.9-1.0513.213.8-0.65
Chris Paul5859-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-9-3-614.915.7-0.7412.115.2-3.08
Zach Collins2425-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-2-816.215.01.2114.613.01.60
Harrison Barnes6865-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-4-414.616.5-1.8412.614.9-2.33
Julian Champagnie4445-0.32-0.18-0.150.17-175-2215.814.81.0512.214.4-2.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Williams59590.480.020.45-0.0819-72612.814.3-1.4715.415.00.42
Ajay Mitchell42430.340.160.180.1375213.913.10.8315.914.81.07
Isaiah Joe36380.320.180.14-0.031201214.312.91.4116.114.71.38
Cason Wallace63630.280.220.050.0484412.914.3-1.3815.215.4-0.19
Chet Holmgren60590.280.220.050.0484412.814.3-1.5015.714.61.16
Aaron Wiggins35370.220.28-0.050.0275214.213.01.2715.415.20.16
Luguentz Dort56550.200.30-0.090.0366012.914.0-1.1114.715.9-1.22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander61610.140.36-0.230.0539-613.014.0-1.0314.716.1-1.41
Alex Caruso42450.130.37-0.240.10111-1014.112.91.1614.815.6-0.89
Ousmane Dieng37380.120.38-0.260.15-113-1414.512.81.7214.815.5-0.73
Alex Ducas210.000.50-0.500.09-315-1815.013.41.6316.015.20.76
Adam Flagler210.000.50-0.500.09-315-1815.013.41.6316.015.20.76
Dillon Jones550.000.50-0.500.12-416-2013.213.4-0.2116.415.21.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 89, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
LAC 94, SAC 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
IND 106, PHI 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%